Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.51K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $70.62
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.07K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $1.34

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $77.85
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$22.15

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $13.1K
Potential profit: $10.34K
Multiplier: 4.74x
User PnL: $97.27

If you invest $100 $473.93 back +$373.93 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 3:05 PM

PnL: $194.14
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $193.05
Volume: $505.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $990.34
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.01K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$595.65

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $756.19
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $4.66K
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $322.2

If you invest $100 $716.85 back +$616.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $167.77
Volume: $5.63K
Win rate: 64%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$323.43

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$28.78

PnL: $166.44
Volume: $97.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $205.86
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $849.84
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $5.86

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $189.8
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: -$43.98

If you invest $100 $1.02K back +$920.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $160.24
Volume: $353.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $10.68
Potential payout: $854
Potential profit: $843.33
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$10.68

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Onekeeper be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $57.42
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $6.52

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $142.2
Volume: $723.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $2.92K
Potential payout: $7.77K
Potential profit: $4.86K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $94.85

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.7%
Current value: $2.84K
Potential payout: $7.17K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 2.52x
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $252.21 back +$152.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $128.14
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $102.04
Potential payout: $618.43
Potential profit: $516.39
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$197.96

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $91.18
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $497.06
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$8.82

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $123.46
Volume: $15.09K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $122.98
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $83.16
Potential payout: $693
Potential profit: $609.84
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$63.62

If you invest $100 $833.33 back +$733.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $71.59
Potential payout: $82.76
Potential profit: $11.17
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.9

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $114.66
Volume: $1.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $59.97
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $7.03
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$2.88

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $55.64
Potential payout: $214
Potential profit: $158.36
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $25.07

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $114.59
Volume: $446.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $63.79
Potential payout: $554.74
Potential profit: $490.94
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$45.2

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $742
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $11.9

If you invest $100 $1.38K back +$1.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $99.1
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $665.77
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $252.2

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $639.66
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$173.32

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $990.34
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.01K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$595.65

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $756.19
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $4.66K
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $322.2

If you invest $100 $716.85 back +$616.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $726
Potential payout: $825
Potential profit: $99
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$15.77

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $665.77
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $252.2

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $639.66
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$173.32

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $606.58
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $506.41
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $573.85

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

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