Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $13.91K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $143.34K
Potential payout: $156.66K
Potential profit: $13.32K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.67K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $103.94K
Potential payout: $111.16K
Potential profit: $7.23K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.42K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $106.23K
Potential payout: $112K
Potential profit: $5.77K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.98K

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:54 PM

PnL: $2.39K
Volume: $9.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Fritz position

Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Sonego (+2.5)

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $958.97
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$418.99

If you invest $100 $2.44K back +$2.34K estimated profit if it wins

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard position

Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$190

PnL: $2.33K
Volume: $16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $506.77
Potential payout: $509.57
Potential profit: $2.8
User PnL: $436.76

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $270.26
Potential payout: $301.96
Potential profit: $31.71
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $202.74

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.79K
Volume: $6.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $2.37
User PnL: $1.51K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $951.74
Potential payout: $952.22
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $4.33

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.72K
Volume: $18.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $670.32
Potential payout: $672
Potential profit: $1.68
User PnL: $336.12

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $666.75
Potential payout: $966.45
Potential profit: $299.7
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $133.04

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $6.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $279.45
Potential payout: $279.87
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $76.49

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $799.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.27

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $4.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $819.14
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $726.41
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $419.15

If you invest $100 $188.68 back +$88.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $804.56
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $283.35

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $992.66
Volume: $33.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $357.03
Potential payout: $357.57
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $352.97

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $275.27
Potential payout: $333.66
Potential profit: $58.39
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $25.02

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $876.51
Volume: $8.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $900
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $41.07
Potential payout: $328.56
Potential profit: $287.49
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$8.93

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $867.71
Volume: $42.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $61.61
Potential payout: $220.03
Potential profit: $158.42
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$87.9

If you invest $100 $357.14 back +$257.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $34.08
Potential payout: $108.18
Potential profit: $74.1
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$2.09

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $797.88
Volume: $8.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $169.47
Potential payout: $169.72
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $1.5

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $146.96
Potential payout: $147.03
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $49.01

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $789.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $143.34K
Potential payout: $156.66K
Potential profit: $13.32K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.67K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $106.23K
Potential payout: $112K
Potential profit: $5.77K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.98K

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $758.56
Volume: $20.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.2%
Current value: $11.14K
Potential payout: $12.49K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$176.35

If you invest $100 $112.11 back +$12.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $3.55K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $2.73K

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.2%
Current value: $11.14K
Potential payout: $12.49K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$176.35

If you invest $100 $112.11 back +$12.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $3.55K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $2.73K

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $3.06K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.52K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $259.06

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $819.14
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $726.41
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $419.15

If you invest $100 $188.68 back +$88.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $804.56
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $283.35

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $666.75
Potential payout: $966.45
Potential profit: $299.7
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $133.04

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

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