Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.73K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.1K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $100.02

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $324.78

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:01 AM

PnL: $2.39K
Volume: $9.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Minaur position

Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $59.4
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $60.6
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $7.8

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard position

Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$190

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $4.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $8.69
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $950.79
Potential payout: $952.22
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: $3.38

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $12.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $395.51
Potential payout: $397.5
Potential profit: $1.99
User PnL: $328.01

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $283.52
Potential payout: $283.67
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $232.58

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.47K
Volume: $11.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $610.78
Potential payout: $678.64
Potential profit: $67.86
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $184.95

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $567.12
Potential payout: $648.14
Potential profit: $81.02
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $218.69

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $6.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $240.69
Potential payout: $279.87
Potential profit: $39.18
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $37.72

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $799.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.27

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $915.32
Volume: $21.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $355.6
Potential payout: $357.57
Potential profit: $1.97
User PnL: $351.54

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $256.92
Potential payout: $333.66
Potential profit: $76.74
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $6.67

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $757.73
Volume: $27.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $496.96
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $538.38
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $43.65

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $225.02
Potential payout: $473.72
Potential profit: $248.7
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $20.49

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $712.84
Volume: $8.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $3.46K
Potential profit: $12.1
User PnL: $379.8

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $136.56

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $648.98
Volume: $12.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.2%
Current value: $11.14K
Potential payout: $12.49K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$176.35

If you invest $100 $112.11 back +$12.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.52K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.7K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $632.73
Volume: $6.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.1K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $100.02

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $600.23
Volume: $7.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $647.96
Potential payout: $648.29
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $606.74

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $49.69
Potential payout: $50.63
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $30.03

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $561.38
Volume: $3.19K
Win rate: 95%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $57.68
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $5.32
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.03

If you invest $100 $109.23 back +$9.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.09
Potential profit: $124.09
User PnL: -$90.9

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.52K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.7K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $324.78

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $610.78
Potential payout: $678.64
Potential profit: $67.86
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $184.95

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $567.12
Potential payout: $648.14
Potential profit: $81.02
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $218.69

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $496.96
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $538.38
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $43.65

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $495.97
Potential payout: $806.45
Potential profit: $310.48
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $58.1

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

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