Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.44K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $555.02
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.45K
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $100.31

If you invest $100 $1.08K back +$981.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.45K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $11.94K
Potential payout: $17.18K
Potential profit: $5.24K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $789.22

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 4:46 AM

PnL: $1.68K
Volume: $55.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $312.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$53.9

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $632.98
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $517.9
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $50.52

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $938.36
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15.18
Potential payout: $10.12K
Potential profit: $10.11K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$35.41

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $3.56K
Potential profit: $3.55K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$484.13

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $669.8
Volume: $4.82K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 43.2%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 2.32x
User PnL: $1.02K

If you invest $100 $231.75 back +$131.75 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $446.54
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $829.3
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $155.28

If you invest $100 $285.71 back +$185.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $498.06
Volume: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $617.25

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $955.46
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $103.92

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $420.33
Volume: $4.02K
Win rate: 6.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $476.13
Potential payout: $479.25
Potential profit: $3.12
User PnL: $357.48

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $423.63
Potential payout: $439.22
Potential profit: $15.59
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $307.63

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $273.41
Volume: $1.11K
Win rate: 23.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $249.4
Potential payout: $302.3
Potential profit: $52.9
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $22.89

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $182.1
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $82.1

If you invest $100 $677.97 back +$577.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $258.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $790
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $830

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $555.02
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.45K
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $100.31

If you invest $100 $1.08K back +$981.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $250.83
Volume: $770
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 43.2%
Current value: $332.64
Potential payout: $770
Potential profit: $437.36
Multiplier: 2.31x
User PnL: $268.9

If you invest $100 $231.48 back +$131.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $210.79
Potential payout: $602.25
Potential profit: $391.46
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $97.47

If you invest $100 $285.71 back +$185.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $230.8
Volume: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $270.6
Potential payout: $872.91
Potential profit: $602.31
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $106.82

If you invest $100 $322.58 back +$222.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $258.43
Potential payout: $363.99
Potential profit: $105.56
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $177.43

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $213.21
Volume: $1.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $11.94K
Potential payout: $17.18K
Potential profit: $5.24K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $789.22

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.62K
Potential payout: $7.64K
Potential profit: $26.75
User PnL: $11.47

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $212.54
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.62K

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.7B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $245.22
Potential profit: $239.83
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$11.03

If you invest $100 $4.55K back +$4.45K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $204.27
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $4.87K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $294.39

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $125

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $312.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$53.9

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $125

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $617.25

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.45K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $790
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $830

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.62K

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

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