Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.22K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.1K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $100.02

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $324.78

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:08 PM

PnL: $2.39K
Volume: $9.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Zverev position

Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Giron (+2.5)

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $0.04

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard position

Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$190

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $14.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $396.31
Potential payout: $397.5
Potential profit: $1.19
User PnL: $328.81

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.4%
Current value: $384.42
Potential payout: $509.57
Potential profit: $125.15
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $314.41

If you invest $100 $132.56 back +$32.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.64K
Volume: $5.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $3.95
User PnL: $1.51K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $951.74
Potential payout: $952.22
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $4.33

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.23K
Volume: $16.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $554.74
Potential payout: $956.45
Potential profit: $401.71
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $27.03

If you invest $100 $172.41 back +$72.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $525.17
Potential payout: $820.57
Potential profit: $295.41
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$4.66

If you invest $100 $156.25 back +$56.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $6.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $272.59
Potential payout: $279.87
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $69.63

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $435.92
Potential profit: $435.49
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$78.83

If you invest $100 $100K back +$99.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $871.04
Volume: $29.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $356.67
Potential payout: $357.57
Potential profit: $0.89
User PnL: $352.61

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $240.24
Potential payout: $333.66
Potential profit: $93.42
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$10.01

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $860.21
Volume: $4.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $772.78
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $772.78
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $372.78

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $769.07
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $247.86

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $790.12
Volume: $8.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $3.46K
Potential profit: $1.73
User PnL: $390.18

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: $138.56

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $727.41
Volume: $32.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $320.4
Potential payout: $781.46
Potential profit: $461.06
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $42.43

If you invest $100 $243.9 back +$143.9 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $224.69
Potential payout: $488.45
Potential profit: $263.76
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $12.8

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $714.68
Volume: $836.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $795.38
Potential payout: $815.77
Potential profit: $20.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $440

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $623.02
Potential payout: $951.18
Potential profit: $328.16
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $297.93

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $651.6
Volume: $14.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.3%
Current value: $11.14K
Potential payout: $12.49K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$170.11

If you invest $100 $112.04 back +$12.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.52K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.7K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $650.71
Volume: $8.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $945.9

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.1K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $100.02

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.52K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.7K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $324.78

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $795.38
Potential payout: $815.77
Potential profit: $20.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $440

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $772.78
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $772.78
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $372.78

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $769.07
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $247.86

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $623.02
Potential payout: $951.18
Potential profit: $328.16
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $297.93

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.