Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.4%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $946.9
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $64.98

If you invest $100 $168.49 back +$68.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $9.83K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $24.7

If you invest $100 $111.92 back +$11.92 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 8:59 AM

PnL: $1.81K
Volume: $5.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.82K

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.61K
Volume: $11.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $9.72
User PnL: $1.68K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $298.49
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $208.49

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.59K
Volume: $20.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $3.64K
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $126.11
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $777.39

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $239
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $254.82

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $16.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $25.49
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $223.77
Potential payout: $224.11
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $210.62

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $937.3
Volume: $13.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$4.1

PnL: $588.82
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.39K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $9.83K
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $24.7

If you invest $100 $111.92 back +$11.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $548.91
Volume: $14.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $531.17
Potential payout: $534.38
Potential profit: $3.21
User PnL: $228.78

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $409.67
Potential payout: $452.67
Potential profit: $43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $129.74

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $535.21
Volume: $3.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $95.92
Potential payout: $96.06
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $89.57

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Sri Lanka position

ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $11.25
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.38

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $535.02
Volume: $6.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $433.62
Potential payout: $501.29
Potential profit: $67.67
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $65.17

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $523.07
Volume: $1.64K
Win rate: 35.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $470.49
Potential payout: $472.85
Potential profit: $2.36
User PnL: $435.39

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $137.37
Potential payout: $499.52
Potential profit: $362.15
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $67.43

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $472.62
Volume: $9.65K
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.9

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $459.97
Volume: $21.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $172.18
Potential payout: $173.48
Potential profit: $1.3
User PnL: $3.96

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $171.42
Potential payout: $173.59
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.04

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $3.64K
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $126.11
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $777.39

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $239
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $254.82

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $237.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.82K

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.4%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $946.9
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $64.98

If you invest $100 $168.49 back +$68.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $433.62
Potential payout: $501.29
Potential profit: $67.67
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $65.17

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

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