Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $13.53K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $102.76K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $463.39K
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $54.11K

If you invest $100 $550.96 back +$450.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $66.44K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $26.48K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $39.4K

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:26 PM

PnL: $2.61K
Volume: $165.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $96.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $107.41 back +$7.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 42.4%
Current value: $980.4
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 2.36x
User PnL: $619.6

If you invest $100 $236.13 back +$136.13 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.13K
Volume: $103.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $614.08
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $765.88
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $93.89

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $577.22
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $813.67
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $45.68

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.11K
Volume: $4.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $166.8
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.76K

If you invest $100 $108.46 back +$8.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $881.94
Potential payout: $891.3
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $614.55

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.43K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $127.53K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $90.47K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$23.56K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $102.76K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $463.39K
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $54.11K

If you invest $100 $550.96 back +$450.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $29.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $835.81
Volume: $6.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $135.82
Potential payout: $136.02
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $107.1

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $56.7
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $123.3
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $4.5

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $827.09
Volume: $9.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $589.8
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $1.92

If you invest $100 $5.88K back +$5.78K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.13

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $821.19
Volume: $24.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $914.68
Potential payout: $915.14
Potential profit: $0.46
User PnL: $120.22

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $203.6
Potential payout: $203.8
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $39.51

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $816.18
Volume: $3.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$22.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$12.7

PnL: $745.35
Volume: $1.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $312.06
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $968.46

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $996.94
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $14.16
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $214.78

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $713.54
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.6K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $440.27
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$203.24

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.7B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $245.22
Potential profit: $240.32
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$11.53

If you invest $100 $5K back +$4.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $683.78
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $8.25K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $350

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $7.4K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $101.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $782.74

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $8.25K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $350

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $7.4K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $101.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $782.74

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.98K
Potential profit: $877.39
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $245.22

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.6K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $440.27
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$203.24

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $166.8
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.76K

If you invest $100 $108.46 back +$8.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $96.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $107.41 back +$7.41 estimated profit if it wins

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