Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.41K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $143.34K
Potential payout: $156.66K
Potential profit: $13.32K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.67K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $105.05K
Potential payout: $111.16K
Potential profit: $6.11K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.53K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $106.23K
Potential payout: $112K
Potential profit: $5.77K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.98K

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:41 PM

PnL: $3.44K
Volume: $18.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $533.57
Potential payout: $534.37
Potential profit: $0.8
User PnL: $466.06

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $429.33
Potential payout: $429.54
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $361.82

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.3K
Volume: $26.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $734.5
Potential payout: $966.45
Potential profit: $231.95
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $200.79

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $596.03
Potential payout: $624.11
Potential profit: $28.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $212.13

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.39K
Volume: $9.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard position

Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$190

Under position

Shimabukuro vs. Kyrgios: Match O/U 23.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$255

PnL: $1.89K
Volume: $7.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $2.37
User PnL: $1.51K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $951.74
Potential payout: $952.22
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $4.33

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.17K
Volume: $38.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $357.03
Potential payout: $357.57
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $352.97

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $270.26
Potential payout: $333.66
Potential profit: $63.4
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $20.02

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $6.83K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $279.31
Potential payout: $279.87
Potential profit: $0.56
User PnL: $76.35

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $59.97
Potential payout: $155.97
Potential profit: $96
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $10.06

If you invest $100 $260.08 back +$160.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $11.44K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $0.77
User PnL: $45.93

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $5.31
User PnL: $138.84

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $143.34K
Potential payout: $156.66K
Potential profit: $13.32K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.67K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $106.23K
Potential payout: $112K
Potential profit: $5.77K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.98K

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $998.87
Volume: $56.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $141.61
Potential payout: $377.61
Potential profit: $236.01
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$10.85

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $37.88
Potential payout: $193.76
Potential profit: $155.88
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $11.64

If you invest $100 $511.51 back +$411.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $928.72
Volume: $10.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.42K
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $24.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $492.45

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $13.64
User PnL: $81.55

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $880.49
Volume: $66.97K
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $38.99K
Potential payout: $39.93K
Potential profit: $938.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.59K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $0.95
User PnL: $666.45

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $840.99
Volume: $8.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $42.71
Potential payout: $328.56
Potential profit: $285.85
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$7.29

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $35.36
Potential payout: $76.87
Potential profit: $41.51
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $5.36

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $38.99K
Potential payout: $39.93K
Potential profit: $938.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.59K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.42K
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $24.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $492.45

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $400.71
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $105.28

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $734.5
Potential payout: $966.45
Potential profit: $231.95
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $200.79

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $596.03
Potential payout: $624.11
Potential profit: $28.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $212.13

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $590.29
Potential payout: $825.57
Potential profit: $235.29
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $57.26

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

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