Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $8K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $8.73K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$3.23K

If you invest $100 $485.44 back +$385.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $21.29K
Potential payout: $26.54K
Potential profit: $5.26K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $6.62K

If you invest $100 $124.69 back +$24.69 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $27.45K
Potential payout: $30.33K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:26 AM

PnL: $2.5K
Volume: $5.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $163.36
Potential payout: $441.5
Potential profit: $278.15
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $88.09

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $149.34
Potential payout: $160.67
Potential profit: $11.33
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.53

If you invest $100 $107.58 back +$7.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.21K
Volume: $2.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $27.01K
Potential payout: $27.16K
Potential profit: $149.38
User PnL: $326.52

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $26.08K
Potential payout: $27.7K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $306.74

If you invest $100 $106.21 back +$6.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $932.87
Volume: $3.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.21K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $8.03
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $461.48
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $8.73K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3.23K

If you invest $100 $125.94 back +$25.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $8.73K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$3.23K

If you invest $100 $485.44 back +$385.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $444.8
Volume: $6.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $312.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$53.9

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $563.79
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $479.71

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $324
Volume: $3.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $755.79
Potential payout: $756.54
Potential profit: $0.76
User PnL: $399.95

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 25.3%
Current value: $614.11
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 3.96x
User PnL: $408.45

If you invest $100 $396.04 back +$296.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $321.83
Volume: $0
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $7.74K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $801.63

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $570
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $450

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $282.34
Volume: $10.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.99K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: $15.86

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $8.65
User PnL: $48.48

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $277.73
Volume: $4.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $4.82
User PnL: $155.1

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $998.47
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $6.53
User PnL: $3.52

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $249.28
Volume: $3.01K
Win rate: 7.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 56.8%
Current value: $437.97
Potential payout: $771.76
Potential profit: $333.79
Multiplier: 1.76x
User PnL: $388.04

If you invest $100 $176.21 back +$76.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $290.52
Potential payout: $683.58
Potential profit: $393.06
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $163.53

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $225.19
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $27.45K
Potential payout: $30.33K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $25.37K
Potential payout: $25.47K
Potential profit: $101.89
User PnL: $3.22K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $212.58
Volume: $4.33K
Win rate: 75.9%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $218.44
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $160.7

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $594.99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $405
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $35

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $19.65K
Potential payout: $21.71K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $146.66

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $8.73K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3.23K

If you invest $100 $125.94 back +$25.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $7.74K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $801.63

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.7%
Current value: $5.37K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$56.78

If you invest $100 $130.38 back +$30.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $8.73K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$3.23K

If you invest $100 $485.44 back +$385.44 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes20.7% No79.4%

Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes73.5% No26.5%