Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.9K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $446.16
Potential profit: $440.81
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$51.2

If you invest $100 $8.33K back +$8.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $446.59
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.05

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $24.77K
Potential profit: $23.52K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $198.53

If you invest $100 $1.98K back +$1.88K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:03 PM

PnL: $736.65
Volume: $129.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Milwaukee Brewers position

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.81
Potential profit: $266.81
User PnL: -$64.09

PnL: $725.99
Volume: $7.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $493.02
Potential profit: $493.02
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.61
Potential profit: $264.61
User PnL: -$27.42

PnL: $652.06
Volume: $10.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $648.62
Volume: $3.71K
Win rate: 34%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$146.86

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $585.58
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $4.36K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$162.84

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $24.77K
Potential profit: $23.52K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $198.53

If you invest $100 $1.98K back +$1.88K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $527.7
Volume: $14.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $799.39
Potential payout: $854.96
Potential profit: $55.57
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $149.62

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $725.88
Potential payout: $728.8
Potential profit: $2.92
User PnL: $20.28

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $527.47
Volume: $23.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $63.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $12.86

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $82.34
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.33

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $527.29
Volume: $84.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $263.07
Potential payout: $407.86
Potential profit: $144.79
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$52.11

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $258.63
Potential payout: $258.76
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $34.05

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $485.69
Volume: $2.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $446.59
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.05

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $6.68
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $256.47
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$3.32

If you invest $100 $3.94K back +$3.84K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $483.02
Volume: $30.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$118.18

PnL: $464.05
Volume: $8.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $452.28
Volume: $3.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $106.32
Potential payout: $135.44
Potential profit: $29.12
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $52.99

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $101.11
Potential payout: $192.6
Potential profit: $91.48
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$1.53

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $24.77K
Potential profit: $23.52K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $198.53

If you invest $100 $1.98K back +$1.88K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $448.66

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $799.39
Potential payout: $854.96
Potential profit: $55.57
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $149.62

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $705.06
Potential payout: $724.62
Potential profit: $19.56
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $64.42

If you invest $100 $102.77 back +$2.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $263.07
Potential payout: $407.86
Potential profit: $144.79
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$52.11

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $258.42
Potential payout: $293.66
Potential profit: $35.24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$2.13

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

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