Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.32K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $593.61
Potential profit: $593.32
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.61

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $24.73
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.07K

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $23.11
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$25.49

If you invest $100 $4.67K back +$4.57K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 7:23 PM

PnL: $631.76
Volume: $10.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.79
Potential profit: $148.79
User PnL: -$98.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.12
Potential profit: $378.12
User PnL: -$56.92

PnL: $601.3
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.82K
Potential profit: $5.82K
User PnL: -$1.52K

PnL: $576.91
Volume: $3.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.24
Potential profit: $61.24
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$1.05

PnL: $551.79
Volume: $12.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $593.61
Potential profit: $593.32
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.61

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$174.6

PnL: $521.56
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $503.91
Volume: $7.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $488.95
Volume: $5.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $304
Potential payout: $304
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $291.54

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $283.85
Potential payout: $283.99
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $258.86

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $482.26
Volume: $8.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415
Potential profit: $415
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.7

PnL: $480.9
Volume: $7.51K
Win rate: 54%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $479.42
Volume: $13.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $105.92
Potential payout: $108.03
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.17

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $105.57
Potential payout: $109.35
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.37

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $471.3
Volume: $1.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $35.24
Potential payout: $35.28
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $7.02

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $24.73
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.07K

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $467.31
Volume: $10.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$421.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650.81
Potential profit: $650.81
User PnL: -$106.01

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $24.73
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.07K

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $23.11
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$25.49

If you invest $100 $4.67K back +$4.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $593.61
Potential profit: $593.32
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.61

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.82K
Potential profit: $5.82K
User PnL: -$1.52K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.24
Potential profit: $61.24
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$1.05

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