Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $6.1K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $12.15K
Potential payout: $221K
Potential profit: $208.84K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$12.06K

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $3.68K
Potential payout: $9.77K
Potential profit: $6.09K
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $265.6 back +$165.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.12K
Potential payout: $6.28K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$670.92

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 6:22 PM

PnL: $662.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran coup attempt by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $13.86K
Potential payout: $15.85K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$512.69

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $12.15K
Potential payout: $221K
Potential profit: $208.84K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$12.06K

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $652.3
Volume: $41.49K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $986.56
Potential payout: $987.05
Potential profit: $0.49
User PnL: $38.13

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $915.71
Potential payout: $916.17
Potential profit: $0.46
User PnL: $8.78

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $647.93
Volume: $16.81K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $635.29
Volume: $54.42K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.12K
Potential payout: $6.28K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$670.92

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 77.7%
Current value: $3.85K
Potential payout: $4.96K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$13.14

If you invest $100 $128.78 back +$28.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $620.84
Volume: $11.82K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $599.93
Potential profit: $599.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$118.95

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $435.94
Potential profit: $435.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.59

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $616.53
Volume: $8.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $296.02
Potential profit: $295.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.53

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $284.01
Potential profit: $283.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.98

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $578
Volume: $917.44
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$9.9

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $544.92
Potential profit: $544.65
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$69.02

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $577.4
Volume: $46.04K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $299.25
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $50.75
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $38.13

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $290.49
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $59.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $32.23

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $565.97
Volume: $36.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $152.65
Potential payout: $152.73
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $51.02

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $145.06
Potential payout: $341.31
Potential profit: $196.25
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$54.79

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $545.39
Volume: $16.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $245.15
Potential payout: $259.41
Potential profit: $14.27
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.65

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $242.73
Potential payout: $246.43
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $13.79

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $525.93
Volume: $9.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $511.16
Volume: $1.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $69.73
Potential payout: $69.76
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $2.76

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $69.68
Potential payout: $69.72
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.56

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.12K
Potential payout: $6.28K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$670.92

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 77.7%
Current value: $3.85K
Potential payout: $4.96K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$13.14

If you invest $100 $128.78 back +$28.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $3.68K
Potential payout: $9.77K
Potential profit: $6.09K
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $265.6 back +$165.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $299.25
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $50.75
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $38.13

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $290.49
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $59.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $32.23

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 1W win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $286.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $13.95
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.05

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

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