Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $850.76 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $326.41
Potential payout: $840.17
Potential profit: $513.76
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $301.12

If you invest $100 $257.4 back +$157.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $331.8
Potential payout: $839.99
Potential profit: $508.2
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $182.6

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $534
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $666
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$6

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 1:11 AM

PnL: $102.15
Volume: $3.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $49.01
Potential payout: $316.21
Potential profit: $267.2
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$51.85

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $37.74
Potential payout: $539.16
Potential profit: $501.42
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$16.17

If you invest $100 $1.43K back +$1.33K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $100.18
Volume: $1.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $35.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.54

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $812.66
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $103.29

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $99.25
Volume: $2.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $11.07
User PnL: $31.28

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.63K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $19.88
User PnL: $4.14

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $88.04
Volume: $627.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $346.38
Potential payout: $464.94
Potential profit: $118.56
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $37.73

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $337.58
Potential payout: $643.01
Potential profit: $305.43
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $67.71

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $88.03
Volume: $742.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $33.86
Potential payout: $95.38
Potential profit: $61.52
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $13.83

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $33.14
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$2.78

If you invest $100 $3.23K back +$3.13K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $86.43
Volume: $2.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $331.8
Potential payout: $839.99
Potential profit: $508.2
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $182.6

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $326.41
Potential payout: $840.17
Potential profit: $513.76
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $301.12

If you invest $100 $257.4 back +$157.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $76.84
Volume: $10
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$12.24

If you invest $100 $100K back +$99.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $585
Potential profit: $584.12
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$27.69

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $75.22
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $585.88
Potential profit: $584.42
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.65

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.25
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $69.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $570
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $630
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$17.61

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $570
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $630
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$54

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $65.44
Volume: $87.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $188.45
Potential payout: $188.54
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $24.41

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $183.93
Potential payout: $243.62
Potential profit: $59.69
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$34.52

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $62.12
Volume: $1.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $61.21
Volume: $331.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Boston Red Sox position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $477.06
Potential payout: $935.42
Potential profit: $458.36
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $87.12

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $468.8
Potential payout: $774.87
Potential profit: $306.07
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$151.88

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $132.62
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$9.21

If you invest $100 $109.41 back +$9.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $570
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $630
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$17.61

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $570
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $630
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$54

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $534
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $666
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$6

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

Boston Red Sox position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $477.06
Potential payout: $935.42
Potential profit: $458.36
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $87.12

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $468.8
Potential payout: $774.87
Potential profit: $306.07
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$151.88

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

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