Yes position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $110.37
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$40.93
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $2.52K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $56.23
- Potential payout
- $744.76
- Potential profit
- $688.53
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- $12.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $58.53
- Potential payout
- $700.94
- Potential profit
- $642.41
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $16.07
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #13
dpnd
0x5f21...b376 Public @dpnd_poly
- PnL
- $285.18
- Volume
- $11.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $111.06
- Potential payout
- $111.12
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $91.6
Yes position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $110.37
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$40.93
Rank #14
WeatherMasterv3
0x79ad...4eed Public
- PnL
- $270.33
- Volume
- $3.99K
- Win rate
- 42%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #15
CRonaldo777
0x52dc...33c9 Public
- PnL
- $269.31
- Volume
- $703.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $37.6
- Potential profit
- $33.92
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $35.1
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Rank #16
vip68
0x8d09...143f Public
- PnL
- $258.38
- Volume
- $4.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $318.12
- Potential profit
- $318.12
- User PnL
- -$7.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $264.61
- Potential profit
- $264.61
- User PnL
- -$27.42
Rank #17
0x49C4a535912CFec7e90b33672771a7d6BA98dB5B-1775560756137
0x49c4...db5b Public
- PnL
- $258.35
- Volume
- $457.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.92
- Potential payout
- $39.94
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $20.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $37.92
- Potential payout
- $37.93
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $20.97
Rank #18
ChaosStake
0xb427...4c62 Public
- PnL
- $257.95
- Volume
- $81.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $239.46
- Potential payout
- $248.02
- Potential profit
- $8.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $224.91
- Potential payout
- $225.02
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $22.21
Rank #19
0x492452EaB586F242ss333dffvvvvvbeerr4
0xe25c...7908 Public
- PnL
- $246.28
- Volume
- $7.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $40.11
- Potential payout
- $138.3
- Potential profit
- $98.19
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$10.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $27.26
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $30.74
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.87
Rank #20
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d0...1f8a Public
- PnL
- $227.46
- Volume
- $8.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $5.86
- User PnL
- $98.31
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.8%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $446.23
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$221.4
Rank #21
meteophilia
0x358b...3722 Public @HugozM31
- PnL
- $225.97
- Volume
- $596.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.73
- Potential profit
- $64.73
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.63
- Potential profit
- $138.63
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Rank #22
rocky42019
0x8f13...daae Public
- PnL
- $224.9
- Volume
- $2.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $63.42
- Potential payout
- $158.56
- Potential profit
- $95.13
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$12.43
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $62.97
- Potential payout
- $242.2
- Potential profit
- $179.23
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$70.24
Rank #23
0x0ca3...8109
0x0ca3...8109 Public
- PnL
- $206.81
- Volume
- $8.14K
- Win rate
- 46%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $58.53
- Potential payout
- $700.94
- Potential profit
- $642.41
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $16.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $56.91
- Potential payout
- $669.54
- Potential profit
- $612.63
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $16.1
Rank #24
tm-kreo-1
0x6897...a4a4 Public
- PnL
- $201.1
- Volume
- $199.7
- Win rate
- 82%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $7.91
- Potential payout
- $64.86
- Potential profit
- $56.95
- Multiplier
- 8.20x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $5.84
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.22
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $110.37
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$40.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $100.35
- Potential payout
- $385.96
- Potential profit
- $285.61
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $40.23
Yes position
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $63.42
- Potential payout
- $158.56
- Potential profit
- $95.13
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$12.43
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $62.97
- Potential payout
- $242.2
- Potential profit
- $179.23
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$70.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $58.53
- Potential payout
- $700.94
- Potential profit
- $642.41
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $16.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $58.35
- Potential payout
- $299.25
- Potential profit
- $240.9
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $5.13
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52.5% No47.5%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes38.5% No61.5%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes100% No0.1%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes50.5% No49.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan - Second Half Result
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Austria to win the second half?
Yes37.5% No62.5%
Jordan Jordan to win the second half?
Yes10% No90%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Event Live
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Match WinnerEnds in Daytime Jun 17, 2026
Match Winner Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Yes62% No38%
Ends in Daytime Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Game 1 WinnerMatch Winner Jun 17, 2026
Game 1 Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner
Yes100% No0.1%
Match Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Yes86% No14%
Market Live
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes10.5% No89.5%
Market Live
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes22.5% No77.5%
Market Live
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Yes52% No48%