Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.03K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.13K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$24.13K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $774
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.23K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $327

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $974.18
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.26K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:00 AM

PnL: $121.53
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $616.84
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $906.21
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $79

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $491.53
Potential payout: $494
Potential profit: $2.47
User PnL: $140.79

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $119.8
Volume: $0
Win rate: 98%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $299.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $2.85

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $264.15
Potential payout: $265.88
Potential profit: $1.73
User PnL: $24.06

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $110.27
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $5.26K
Potential payout: $5.51K
Potential profit: $250.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $136.04

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.97K
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $842.7
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $82.28

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $110
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $921.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $421.5

If you invest $100 $108.52 back +$8.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.13K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$24.13K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $100.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $99.96
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $98.63
Volume: $0
Win rate: 77.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $102.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $397.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$17.5

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $69.78
Potential payout: $8.72K
Potential profit: $8.65K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$642.88

If you invest $100 $12.5K back +$12.4K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $98.42
Volume: $1.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $623
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $77

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $600.37
Potential payout: $876.45
Potential profit: $276.08
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$55.93

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $87.48
Volume: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $38.47
Potential payout: $122.14
Potential profit: $83.67
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $2.88

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $37.76
Potential payout: $300.89
Potential profit: $263.13
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $18.72

If you invest $100 $796.81 back +$696.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $82.82
Volume: $1.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $107.69
Potential payout: $108.18
Potential profit: $0.49
User PnL: $0.92

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $107.68
Potential payout: $109.26
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.71

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $82.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $24.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $74.18

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $974.18
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.26K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $78.26
Volume: $551.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $81.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $56.75

If you invest $100 $1.83K back +$1.73K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $78.75
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.42K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$46.25

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $24.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $74.18

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $974.18
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.26K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $960.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $39.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $60.5

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $921.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $421.5

If you invest $100 $108.52 back +$8.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.13K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$24.13K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $774
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.23K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $327

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62.1%