Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.52K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $104.99
Potential profit: $104.73
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.95

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.7
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.35

If you invest $100 $33.33K back +$33.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.63
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.65

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 6:06 AM

PnL: $304.77
Volume: $534.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $727.3
Potential profit: $727.3
User PnL: -$62.72

Yes position

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.86
Potential profit: $177.86
User PnL: -$91.65

PnL: $280.19
Volume: $12.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $137.02
Potential payout: $137.78
Potential profit: $0.76
User PnL: $93.11

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $132.62
Potential payout: $143.99
Potential profit: $11.38
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$4.96

If you invest $100 $108.58 back +$8.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $268.39
Volume: $1.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.63
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.65

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.7
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.35

If you invest $100 $33.33K back +$33.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $268.21
Volume: $1.59K
Win rate: 88%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $255.97
Volume: $648.44
Win rate: 14%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $250.63
Volume: $5.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.47
Potential profit: $95.47
User PnL: -$63.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $739.5
Potential profit: $739.5
User PnL: -$9.37

PnL: $233.88
Volume: $31.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $263.38
Potential payout: $368.36
Potential profit: $104.98
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $69.5

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $253.28
Potential payout: $253.41
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $108.11

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $229.84
Volume: $13.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $207.88
Potential payout: $340.78
Potential profit: $132.9
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$21.81

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $207.29
Potential payout: $567.92
Potential profit: $360.63
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$48.94

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $218.56
Volume: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $213.19
Volume: $4.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $21.31
Potential payout: $21.61
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.68

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $20.83
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.52

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $209.47
Volume: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$13.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$10.5

PnL: $206.93
Volume: $9.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $111.52
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $13.69

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $517.23
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $238.65

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $263.38
Potential payout: $368.36
Potential profit: $104.98
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $69.5

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $247.99
Potential payout: $258.6
Potential profit: $10.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $55.66

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $207.88
Potential payout: $340.78
Potential profit: $132.9
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$21.81

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $207.29
Potential payout: $567.92
Potential profit: $360.63
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$48.94

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $205.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$4.5

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $132.62
Potential payout: $143.99
Potential profit: $11.38
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$4.96

If you invest $100 $108.58 back +$8.58 estimated profit if it wins

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