Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.3K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $62.93K
Potential profit: $61.89K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$11.2K

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $691.63
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $4.84K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $27.67

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $718.36
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 7.46x
User PnL: $214.44

If you invest $100 $746.27 back +$646.27 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 3:54 PM

PnL: $355
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$3.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.6
Potential profit: $53.6
User PnL: -$28.99

PnL: $341.68
Volume: $1.32K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $338.63
Volume: $21.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $151.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $148.5
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $10.5

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $147.32
Potential payout: $398.16
Potential profit: $250.84
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $22.39

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $331.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $62.93K
Potential profit: $61.89K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$11.2K

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $718.36
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 7.46x
User PnL: $214.44

If you invest $100 $746.27 back +$646.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $328.67
Volume: $6.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$17.5

PnL: $325.42
Volume: $40.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.63
Potential payout: $199.73
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $42.93

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $194.73
Potential payout: $194.92
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $51.04

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $322.28
Volume: $16.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.67

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $319.01
Volume: $8.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $75.06
Potential payout: $84.81
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.42

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $72.6
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $15.4
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.25

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $317.14
Volume: $53.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $316.73
Volume: $3.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $54.27
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$9.15

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$947.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $107.77
Potential profit: $102.87
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$1.07

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $315.99
Volume: $21.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $227.92
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $572.07
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $163.92

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $224.75
Potential payout: $864.44
Potential profit: $639.69
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $76.24

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $311.93
Volume: $34.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $283.07
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $21.29

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$78.07

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $62.93K
Potential profit: $61.89K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$11.2K

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $718.36
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 7.46x
User PnL: $214.44

If you invest $100 $746.27 back +$646.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $691.63
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $4.84K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $27.67

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $227.92
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $572.07
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $163.92

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $224.75
Potential payout: $864.44
Potential profit: $639.69
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $76.24

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

Mbappe position

World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $221.62
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $48.65
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $52.9

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

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