Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $7.39
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $134.3 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $7.49
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #73
catac-pb1
0x96c4...e168 Public
- PnL
- $14.06
- Volume
- $185.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.76
- Potential profit
- $49.76
- User PnL
- -$45.03
Rank #74
JapeththeGoat
0x9a31...5af1 Public
- PnL
- $13.87
- Volume
- $140.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #75
0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243
0x16c7...22cd Public
- PnL
- $13.65
- Volume
- $898.43
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #76
dfadffdafs
0x1c78...42e6 Public
- PnL
- $13.34
- Volume
- $212.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.43
- Potential profit
- $141.43
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.96
- Potential profit
- $299.96
- User PnL
- -$15
Rank #77
conversionRate101
0x3a1f...4877 Public
- PnL
- $13.26
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.4
- Potential profit
- $22.4
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.48
- Potential profit
- $24.48
- User PnL
- -$11.28
Rank #78
flamme
0x7180...1cef Public
- PnL
- $13.26
- Volume
- $91.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.88
- Potential profit
- $16.88
- User PnL
- -$3.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.41
- Potential profit
- $14.41
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Rank #79
b3t4t35t
0xab18...467d Public
- PnL
- $13.25
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $910.9
- Potential profit
- $910.9
- User PnL
- -$35.8
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Rank #80
Dr.PNL
0xc602...7fc1 Public @Dr_PNL
- PnL
- $13.23
- Volume
- $193.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $113.43
- Potential payout
- $137.49
- Potential profit
- $24.06
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$7.56
N
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $110.04
- Potential payout
- $134.19
- Potential profit
- $24.15
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $2.68
Rank #81
Amano-Hina
0x8aa2...5a0b Public
- PnL
- $13.21
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.41
- Potential profit
- $46.41
- User PnL
- -$24.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$18.78
Rank #82
jxsf
0x9be9...7017 Public
- PnL
- $13.18
- Volume
- $68.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #83
AmanoHina
0xea83...7393 Public
- PnL
- $13.03
- Volume
- $90.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $7.49
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Rank #84
leke
0xf84d...5e65 Public
- PnL
- $12.65
- Volume
- $1.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $7.49
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $7.39
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.78
- Potential profit
- $94.78
- User PnL
- -$44.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.48
- Potential profit
- $24.48
- User PnL
- -$11.28
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $910.9
- Potential profit
- $910.9
- User PnL
- -$35.8
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Inflation Live
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Jan 20, 2027
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Yes16.7% No83.4%
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Yes4.9% No95.1%
Market Live
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes65.5% No34.5%
Market Live
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes97.6% No2.4%
Market Live
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes11.5% No88.5%
Market Live
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Yes28% No72%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Yes4.1% No96%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.7% No95.4%
Market Live
US recession by end of 2026?
US recession by end of 2026?
Yes13% No87%
Market Live
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Yes8.5% No91.5%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes2.7% No97.4%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes24.5% No75.5%