Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10.87K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $100.07K
Potential profit: $98.72K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$567.17

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $12.98K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $11.74K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $10.05K
Potential payout: $16.61K
Potential profit: $6.56K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 1:59 PM

PnL: $2.54K
Volume: $1.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $100.07K
Potential profit: $98.72K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$567.17

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $100.77K
Potential profit: $99.61K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.71K

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $12.98K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $11.74K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $10.05K
Potential payout: $16.61K
Potential profit: $6.56K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.45K
Volume: $17.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $30.09K
Potential payout: $30.16K
Potential profit: $75.41
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $13.07K
Potential payout: $16.02K
Potential profit: $2.95K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.33K

If you invest $100 $122.56 back +$22.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $923.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.19K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.42K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $22.19
User PnL: $144.22

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $918.68
Volume: $7.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Logan McNaney win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $14.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $13.39

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Matt DeLuca win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $15.9
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $13.24

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $882.25
Volume: $1.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $321.54
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $70.23

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $464.43
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $716.97
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 81.2%
Current value: $6.26K
Potential payout: $7.71K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $3.57K

If you invest $100 $123.15 back +$23.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.75K
Potential profit: $9.75K
User PnL: -$1.36K

PnL: $661.39
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $549.41
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $3.92K
Multiplier: 8.13x
User PnL: $436.13

If you invest $100 $813.01 back +$713.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.9%
Current value: $98.22
Potential payout: $113.03
Potential profit: $14.81
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $8.33

If you invest $100 $115.07 back +$15.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $606.54
Volume: $221.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $327.79
Potential payout: $328.45
Potential profit: $0.66
User PnL: $327.79

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $314.45
Potential payout: $316.35
Potential profit: $1.9
User PnL: -$0.63

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $591.9
Volume: $5.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 81.2%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $503.05
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.45K

If you invest $100 $123.15 back +$23.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 32.1%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $4.27K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 3.12x
User PnL: $654.89

If you invest $100 $311.53 back +$211.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $527.79
Volume: $6.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $887.83
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $243.16
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $561.19

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $769.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $30.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $641.6

If you invest $100 $103.95 back +$3.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $519.33
Volume: $566.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $11.33K
Potential payout: $11.36K
Potential profit: $22.71
User PnL: $409.22

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 78.3%
Current value: $6.94K
Potential payout: $8.87K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$101.55

If you invest $100 $127.8 back +$27.8 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.19K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $7.83K
Potential payout: $9.26K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $437.73

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 78.3%
Current value: $6.94K
Potential payout: $8.87K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$101.55

If you invest $100 $127.8 back +$27.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 81.2%
Current value: $6.26K
Potential payout: $7.71K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $3.57K

If you invest $100 $123.15 back +$23.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $5.55K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$913.97

If you invest $100 $135.23 back +$35.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $4.05K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $552.32
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $383.67

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

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