Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.86K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $720.3K
Potential profit: $716.34K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.69K

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $8.93K
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $29.07K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $7.47K

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $6.93K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $28.07K
Multiplier: 5.05x
User PnL: -$10.57K

If you invest $100 $505.05 back +$405.05 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 6:18 AM

PnL: $4.09K
Volume: $166.01K
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $65.98K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $4.03K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $30.98K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $10.9K
Potential payout: $21.82K
Potential profit: $10.92K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $10.06K

If you invest $100 $200.2 back +$100.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.88K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $720.3K
Potential profit: $716.34K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.69K

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $2.13K
Volume: $1.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $28.07K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $6.93K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $10.57K

If you invest $100 $124.69 back +$24.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $6.93K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $28.07K
Multiplier: 5.05x
User PnL: -$10.57K

If you invest $100 $505.05 back +$405.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.91K
Volume: $23.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $14.99K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $15.02K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $13.83K

If you invest $100 $200.2 back +$100.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $7.65K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $22.35K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $6.5K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.79K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $524.04K
Potential payout: $533.92K
Potential profit: $9.88K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18.92K

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.68K
Potential payout: $70.5K
Potential profit: $8.81K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.23K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $307.12K
Potential profit: $305.43K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.38K

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $12.26K
Potential profit: $11.1K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$870.48

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $18.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $3.4K
Potential payout: $18.53K
Potential profit: $15.13K
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $3.04K

If you invest $100 $544.96 back +$444.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.21K
Potential payout: $6.43K
Potential profit: $3.22K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.95K

If you invest $100 $200.2 back +$100.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $133.49K
Potential payout: $140.52K
Potential profit: $7.03K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$187.73

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.25K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $824.8
Volume: $0
Win rate: 18.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $206.2K
Potential profit: $205.06K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.95K

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.89K
Potential profit: $105.89K
User PnL: -$824.29

PnL: $749.54
Volume: $3.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.99K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: $22.6

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $5.94K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$5.09

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $736.94
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $17.62K
Potential profit: $16.24K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$66.56

If you invest $100 $1.27K back +$1.17K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $23.64K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $362.5

If you invest $100 $1.83K back +$1.73K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $717.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 55.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $986.99
Potential payout: $179.45K
Potential profit: $178.47K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5.12K

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $611.18
Potential payout: $638.64
Potential profit: $27.46
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $74.23

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.68K
Potential payout: $70.5K
Potential profit: $8.81K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $59.4K
Potential payout: $68.67K
Potential profit: $9.27K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.84K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.25K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $28.07K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $6.93K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $10.57K

If you invest $100 $124.69 back +$24.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $14.99K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $15.02K
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $13.83K

If you invest $100 $200.2 back +$100.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $8.93K
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $29.07K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $7.47K

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

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