Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.49K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $24.38
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$6.16

If you invest $100 $4.35K back +$4.25K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $35.53
Potential payout: $986.97
Potential profit: $951.44
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$7.48

If you invest $100 $2.78K back +$2.68K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $35.06
Potential payout: $565.52
Potential profit: $530.46
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: $18.91

If you invest $100 $1.61K back +$1.51K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 7:31 AM

PnL: $280.71
Volume: $8.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $874.17
Potential payout: $874.61
Potential profit: $0.44
User PnL: $10.76

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $830.41
Potential payout: $830.83
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $11.04

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $279.96
Volume: $1.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $129.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.33

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.81
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.9

If you invest $100 $16.67K back +$16.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $279.93
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $278.32
Volume: $2.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $261
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$15

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $35.53
Potential payout: $986.97
Potential profit: $951.44
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$7.48

If you invest $100 $2.78K back +$2.68K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $253.61
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$354.71

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $82.5
Potential profit: $77.55
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $3.2

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $244.03
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $74.51
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $0.49
User PnL: $14.51

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 56.6%
Current value: $73.54
Potential payout: $129.96
Potential profit: $56.41
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $47.69

If you invest $100 $176.71 back +$76.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $227.09
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $222.11
Volume: $3.7K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $215.1
Volume: $3.03K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $464.76
Potential profit: $464.76
User PnL: -$146.03

No position

Will Trump insult someone on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.62
Potential profit: $270.62
User PnL: -$19.34

PnL: $214.04
Volume: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $62B?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $25.48
Potential payout: $28.95
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.15

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $24.38
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$6.16

If you invest $100 $4.35K back +$4.25K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $212.68
Volume: $15.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $270.98
Potential payout: $501.82
Potential profit: $230.84
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $30.11

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $256.44
Potential payout: $363.74
Potential profit: $107.3
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $22.64

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $209.92
Volume: $41.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $570.29
Potential payout: $609.93
Potential profit: $39.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $62.96

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $564.75
Potential payout: $664.41
Potential profit: $99.66
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $25.29

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $270.98
Potential payout: $501.82
Potential profit: $230.84
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $30.11

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $256.44
Potential payout: $363.74
Potential profit: $107.3
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $22.64

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $235.01
Potential payout: $293.76
Potential profit: $58.75
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $29.48

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 56.6%
Current value: $73.54
Potential payout: $129.96
Potential profit: $56.41
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $47.69

If you invest $100 $176.71 back +$76.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $73.5
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $66.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $7.6

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $261
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$15

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

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