Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.03K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $818.71
Potential payout: $14.89K
Potential profit: $14.07K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.75K

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $295.78
Potential payout: $5.92K
Potential profit: $5.62K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $177.36

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $893.79
Potential payout: $7.15K
Potential profit: $6.26K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $320.92

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 2:04 AM

PnL: $125.21
Volume: $333.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $302.28
Potential payout: $302.43
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $1.06

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $295.78
Potential payout: $5.92K
Potential profit: $5.62K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $177.36

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $119.88
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $124.13
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $0.88
User PnL: $0.13

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $117.6
Potential payout: $117.89
Potential profit: $0.29
User PnL: $0.41

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $119.16
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $21.28
Potential payout: $53.87
Potential profit: $32.59
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $5.61

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $21.24
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.88

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $116.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.03K
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $4.03
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.83K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$25

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $102.58
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $190.27
Potential payout: $234.18
Potential profit: $43.91
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $13.47

If you invest $100 $123.08 back +$23.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $183.75
Potential payout: $185.7
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $123.77

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $93.46
Volume: $76.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $4.59K
Potential payout: $4.85K
Potential profit: $259.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $155.69

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $4.02K
Potential payout: $4.82K
Potential profit: $794.83
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $222.34

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $92.86
Volume: $0
Win rate: 14.8%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $88.04
Volume: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $41.74
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $727.83

If you invest $100 $104.06 back +$4.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $893.79
Potential payout: $7.15K
Potential profit: $6.26K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $320.92

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $86.94
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $402.65
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $855.62
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $179.59

If you invest $100 $312.5 back +$212.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $389.7
Potential payout: $391.86
Potential profit: $2.16
User PnL: $17.06

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $83.13
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $82.79
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "Choosin’ Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$40

PnL: $73.78
Volume: $0
Win rate: 46%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.83K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$25

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $41.74
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $727.83

If you invest $100 $104.06 back +$4.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $893.79
Potential payout: $7.15K
Potential profit: $6.26K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $320.92

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $818.71
Potential payout: $14.89K
Potential profit: $14.07K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.75K

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $402.65
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $855.62
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $179.59

If you invest $100 $312.5 back +$212.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $370.66
Potential payout: $431
Potential profit: $60.34
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $76.22

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.