Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $22.47K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $56.39K
Potential payout: $417.68K
Potential profit: $361.29K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$32.02K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $43.23K
Potential payout: $239.51K
Potential profit: $196.28K
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$9.8K

If you invest $100 $554.02 back +$454.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $52.63K
Potential payout: $233.93K
Potential profit: $181.29K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$6.31K

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

ECONOMICS leaderboard

Updated 3:04 PM

PnL: $7.09K
Volume: $4.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $219.84K
Potential payout: $340.84K
Potential profit: $121K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $47.53K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $202.54K
Potential payout: $239.69K
Potential profit: $37.15K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $33.77K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.88K
Volume: $57.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $758.34K
Potential payout: $761.77K
Potential profit: $3.43K
User PnL: $109.14K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $88.13K
Potential payout: $104.3K
Potential profit: $16.17K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $10.92K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.78K
Volume: $110
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $180.35K
Potential payout: $181.17K
Potential profit: $815.24
User PnL: $48.15K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $80.7K
Potential payout: $125.12K
Potential profit: $44.42K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $15.23K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $109.81K
Potential payout: $110.08K
Potential profit: $275.2
User PnL: $39.56K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $65.46K
Potential payout: $101.49K
Potential profit: $36.03K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $19.75K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.29K
Volume: $88.62K
Win rate: 78.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $170.91K
Potential payout: $212.3K
Potential profit: $41.4K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.98K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $26.96K
Potential payout: $40.54K
Potential profit: $13.58K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$709.58

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.19K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $38.53K
Potential payout: $59.73K
Potential profit: $21.21K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $5.81K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $6.54K
Potential payout: $42.22K
Potential profit: $35.68K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$782.58

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $36.69K
Potential payout: $56.88K
Potential profit: $20.19K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $10.43K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $5.92K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $855

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $74.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $361.8K
Potential payout: $366.38K
Potential profit: $4.58K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.3%
Current value: $196.81K
Potential payout: $251.51K
Potential profit: $54.7K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $7.58K

If you invest $100 $127.8 back +$27.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1K
Volume: $37.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $94.35K
Potential payout: $94.78K
Potential profit: $426.5
User PnL: $2.66K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $43.84K
Potential payout: $43.91K
Potential profit: $65.86
User PnL: $952.42

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 35.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $32.26K
Potential payout: $50.01K
Potential profit: $17.75K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $5.47K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.14K
Potential profit: $4.14K
User PnL: -$624.97

PnL: $1K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $253.11K
Potential payout: $260.27K
Potential profit: $7.16K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $56.39K
Potential payout: $417.68K
Potential profit: $361.29K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$32.02K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $960.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $18.66K
Potential payout: $21.2K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $9.74K
Potential payout: $12.57K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$321.65

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $202.54K
Potential payout: $239.69K
Potential profit: $37.15K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $33.77K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.3%
Current value: $196.81K
Potential payout: $251.51K
Potential profit: $54.7K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $7.58K

If you invest $100 $127.8 back +$27.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $170.91K
Potential payout: $212.3K
Potential profit: $41.4K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.98K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $141.14K
Potential payout: $143.36K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1K

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $56.39K
Potential payout: $417.68K
Potential profit: $361.29K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$32.02K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $52.63K
Potential payout: $233.93K
Potential profit: $181.29K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$6.31K

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

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