Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $55.04K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $49.36K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $1.05M
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$97.14K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $197.34K
Potential payout: $970.22K
Potential profit: $772.87K
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$287.77K

If you invest $100 $491.64 back +$391.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $191.75K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $308.25K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$58.25K

If you invest $100 $260.76 back +$160.76 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

ECONOMICS leaderboard

Updated 9:04 PM

PnL: $12.29K
Volume: $74.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $60.57K
Potential payout: $205.34K
Potential profit: $144.76K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $8.86K

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $49.36K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $1.05M
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$97.14K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.76K
Volume: $33.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $96.92K
Potential payout: $107.09K
Potential profit: $10.17K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.68K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $82.62K
Potential payout: $83.12K
Potential profit: $498.69
User PnL: $21.1K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.34K
Volume: $2.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $78.12K
Potential payout: $86.32K
Potential profit: $8.2K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $534.59

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $63.9K
Potential payout: $84.63K
Potential profit: $20.73K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$8.33K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.45K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $258.08K
Potential payout: $285.17K
Potential profit: $27.09K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $46.49K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $163.72K
Potential payout: $164.13K
Potential profit: $410.32
User PnL: $22.71K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.3K
Volume: $5.29K
Win rate: 57.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $214.7K
Potential payout: $262.63K
Potential profit: $47.93K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $110.93K

If you invest $100 $122.32 back +$22.32 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $15.42K
Potential payout: $28.29K
Potential profit: $12.87K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $777.91

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.88K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $772.78K
Potential payout: $970.22K
Potential profit: $197.44K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $287.67K

If you invest $100 $125.55 back +$25.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $197.34K
Potential payout: $970.22K
Potential profit: $772.87K
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$287.77K

If you invest $100 $491.64 back +$391.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.87K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $145.96K
Potential payout: $193.32K
Potential profit: $47.36K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$19.38K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 46.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $167.39K
Potential payout: $286.13K
Potential profit: $118.74K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $24.32K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $136.98K
Potential payout: $181.43K
Potential profit: $44.45K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$29.44K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.44K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 84.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $14.08K
Potential payout: $312.91K
Potential profit: $298.83K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$102.5K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.82K
Potential profit: $105.82K
User PnL: -$23.75K

PnL: $3.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 61.7%
Current value: $308.25K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $191.75K
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $58.25K

If you invest $100 $162.21 back +$62.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $243.14K
Potential payout: $244.61K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: $57.77K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.67K
Volume: $62.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $265.5K
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $34.5K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $115.5K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $252.29K
Potential payout: $256K
Potential profit: $3.71K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.16K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.64K
Volume: $7.62K
Open positions: 2

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $66.59K
Potential profit: $36.29K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $749.39
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $845.05
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $136.49

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $258.08K
Potential payout: $285.17K
Potential profit: $27.09K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $46.49K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $252.29K
Potential payout: $256K
Potential profit: $3.71K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.16K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $214.7K
Potential payout: $262.63K
Potential profit: $47.93K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $110.93K

If you invest $100 $122.32 back +$22.32 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $197.34K
Potential payout: $970.22K
Potential profit: $772.87K
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$287.77K

If you invest $100 $491.64 back +$391.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $191.75K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $308.25K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$58.25K

If you invest $100 $260.76 back +$160.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $167.39K
Potential payout: $286.13K
Potential profit: $118.74K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $24.32K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes83.5% No16.5%

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Yes41.3% No58.8%

Will Travis Grantham be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Yes22.6% No77.5%

Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes13.3% No86.7%