Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.71K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $56.39K
Potential payout: $417.68K
Potential profit: $361.29K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$32.02K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $44.67K
Potential payout: $254.51K
Potential profit: $209.85K
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$11.68K

If you invest $100 $569.8 back +$469.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $52.63K
Potential payout: $233.93K
Potential profit: $181.29K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$6.31K

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

ECONOMICS leaderboard

Updated 9:45 AM

PnL: $3.6K
Volume: $4.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $213.03K
Potential payout: $340.84K
Potential profit: $127.82K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $40.71K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $202.54K
Potential payout: $239.69K
Potential profit: $37.15K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $33.77K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.14K
Volume: $57.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $757.58K
Potential payout: $761.77K
Potential profit: $4.19K
User PnL: $108.38K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $84.63K
Potential payout: $135.41K
Potential profit: $50.78K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $10.59K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.49K
Volume: $88.62K
Win rate: 78.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $170.91K
Potential payout: $212.3K
Potential profit: $41.4K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.98K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $27.36K
Potential payout: $40.54K
Potential profit: $13.18K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$304.18

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $180.17K
Potential payout: $181.17K
Potential profit: $996.41
User PnL: $47.97K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $78.13K
Potential payout: $125.01K
Potential profit: $46.88K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $12.73K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $109.81K
Potential payout: $110.08K
Potential profit: $275.2
User PnL: $39.56K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $63.43K
Potential payout: $101.49K
Potential profit: $38.06K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $17.72K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $663.15
Volume: $62.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $361.44K
Potential payout: $366.38K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.52K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.2%
Current value: $196.56K
Potential payout: $251.51K
Potential profit: $54.95K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $7.32K

If you invest $100 $127.96 back +$27.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $649.32
Volume: $179.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $43.87K
Potential payout: $54.5K
Potential profit: $10.63K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $27.07K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.62K
Potential payout: $10.63K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $21.02

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $597.37
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $37.33K
Potential payout: $59.73K
Potential profit: $22.4K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $4.61K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $6.54K
Potential payout: $42.22K
Potential profit: $35.68K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$782.58

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $568.78
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $35.55K
Potential payout: $56.88K
Potential profit: $21.33K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $9.29K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $5.92K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $855

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $540.45
Volume: $24.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $94.26K
Potential payout: $94.78K
Potential profit: $521.28
User PnL: $2.57K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $44.67K
Potential payout: $254.51K
Potential profit: $209.85K
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$11.68K

If you invest $100 $569.8 back +$469.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $500.11
Volume: $0
Win rate: 35.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $31.26K
Potential payout: $50.01K
Potential profit: $18.75K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $4.47K

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.14K
Potential profit: $4.14K
User PnL: -$624.97

PnL: $500
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $253.11K
Potential payout: $260.27K
Potential profit: $7.16K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $56.39K
Potential payout: $417.68K
Potential profit: $361.29K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$32.02K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $202.54K
Potential payout: $239.69K
Potential profit: $37.15K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $33.77K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.2%
Current value: $196.56K
Potential payout: $251.51K
Potential profit: $54.95K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $7.32K

If you invest $100 $127.96 back +$27.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $170.91K
Potential payout: $212.3K
Potential profit: $41.4K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.98K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $140.99K
Potential payout: $143.36K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $858.72

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $56.39K
Potential payout: $417.68K
Potential profit: $361.29K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$32.02K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $52.63K
Potential payout: $233.93K
Potential profit: $181.29K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$6.31K

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5 Jong vs. Hijikata: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.5 Jong vs. Hijikata: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5

Yes0% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington JonesWimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Yes95.6% No4.4%

Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 Nakashima vs. Jones: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes12.6% No87.4%

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes22.5% No77.5%

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes10.5% No89.5%

Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes7.3% No92.8%

Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes5.6% No94.5%

Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes7.8% No92.3%

Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes9.9% No90.1%

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes56.5% No43.5%

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes7.3% No92.8%

Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes6.7% No93.3%