Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.05K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $628.59
Potential payout: $4.66K
Potential profit: $4.03K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.55K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $630.77
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $24.58

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $120.9
Potential payout: $348.5
Potential profit: $227.61
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $20.9

If you invest $100 $288.27 back +$188.27 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

ECONOMICS leaderboard

Updated 2:09 PM

PnL: $2.42K
Volume: $8.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.7%
Current value: $103.19
Potential payout: $179
Potential profit: $75.81
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $85.29

If you invest $100 $173.46 back +$73.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $75.5

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.15K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $10.63K
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $618.75
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.48K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $9.78K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $675

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.79K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $135.96
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $39.47
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $35.97

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $120.9
Potential payout: $348.5
Potential profit: $227.61
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $20.9

If you invest $100 $288.27 back +$188.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $756.43
Potential payout: $864.49
Potential profit: $108.06
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $125.35

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $707.17
Potential payout: $710.01
Potential profit: $2.84
User PnL: $21.43

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.59K
Volume: $3.49K
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $205.18
Potential payout: $206.52
Potential profit: $1.34
User PnL: $73.8

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $61.3
Potential payout: $40.86K
Potential profit: $40.8K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.77K

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620.23
Potential profit: $620.23
User PnL: -$86.83

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.47K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $182.93
Potential payout: $216.49
Potential profit: $33.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $63.03

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $155.53
Potential payout: $196.87
Potential profit: $41.34
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $25.59

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.42K
Volume: $3.88K
Win rate: 68%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $177.79
Potential payout: $386.49
Potential profit: $208.7
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$3.86

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $144.4
Potential payout: $257.86
Potential profit: $113.46
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $20.63

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $60.76
Potential payout: $270.05
Potential profit: $209.29
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.45

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $55.89
Potential payout: $151.07
Potential profit: $95.17
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$11.8

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $26.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $809.59
Potential payout: $809.99
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $504.87

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $630.77
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $24.58

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $756.43
Potential payout: $864.49
Potential profit: $108.06
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $125.35

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $665
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $335
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $630.77
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $24.58

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $628.59
Potential payout: $4.66K
Potential profit: $4.03K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.55K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $182.93
Potential payout: $216.49
Potential profit: $33.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $63.03

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $177.79
Potential payout: $386.49
Potential profit: $208.7
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$3.86

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

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