Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $97.74K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.15K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 12:40 PM

PnL: $13.28K
Volume: $3.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.15K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $32.66
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $400.53

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.57K
Volume: $3.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.9%
Current value: $12.04K
Potential payout: $15.08K
Potential profit: $3.04K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $4.5K

If you invest $100 $125.23 back +$25.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $4.75K
Potential payout: $4.87K
Potential profit: $119.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.32K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.21K
Volume: $23.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.7%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $6.22K
Multiplier: 4.06x
User PnL: $384.08

If you invest $100 $405.68 back +$305.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $67.93
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.87K
Volume: $9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $35.35
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.67K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: $111.45

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.19K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $14.7K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $300
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.16K

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $127.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.87K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$408.21

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $35.15K
Potential payout: $38.41K
Potential profit: $3.27K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.27K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.99K
Volume: $32.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $31.6K
Potential payout: $32.08K
Potential profit: $481.24
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.76K

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

Down position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $259.17
Potential payout: $275.71
Potential profit: $16.54
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.19

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.94K
Volume: $4.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $31.37K
Potential payout: $31.45K
Potential profit: $78.61
User PnL: $232.54

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $28.8K
Potential payout: $29.86K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$3.73

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.61K
Volume: $3.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $29.98
Potential payout: $30.09
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: -$0.05

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $29.96
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.19

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $827.65
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $188
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $297.94

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.71K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $312.31
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$213.69

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.6K
Potential profit: $48.6K
User PnL: -$24.17K

PnL: $4.49K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $28.8K
Potential payout: $29.86K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$3.73

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $26.7K
Potential payout: $29.5K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $447.63

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $14.7K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $300
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.16K

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.9%
Current value: $12.04K
Potential payout: $15.08K
Potential profit: $3.04K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $4.5K

If you invest $100 $125.23 back +$25.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.15K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

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