Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $14.88K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $21.57K
Potential payout: $139.13K
Potential profit: $117.57K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $98.53K
Potential profit: $84.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.52K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $21.08K
Potential payout: $100.17K
Potential profit: $79.08K
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $12.33K

If you invest $100 $475.06 back +$375.06 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 10:03 AM

PnL: $2.34K
Volume: $3.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $19.17
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.16K
Volume: $17.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $26.54K
Potential payout: $96.51K
Potential profit: $69.97K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $458.35

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $13.75K
Potential payout: $20.84K
Potential profit: $7.08K
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $5.88K

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.13K
Volume: $3.14K
Win rate: 98%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $4.45K
Potential payout: $16.84K
Potential profit: $12.38K
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $1K

If you invest $100 $378.07 back +$278.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.45K
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $635.93
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$112.7

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $2.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $15.95
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0.02

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $15.93
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0.04

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 51.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $21.57K
Potential payout: $139.13K
Potential profit: $117.57K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$125

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.38K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $64.9K
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $97.5
User PnL: -$22.42

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23.36K
Potential payout: $101.8K
Potential profit: $78.44K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $6.57K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $2K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $10.22K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.84K

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $921.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.75K
Potential payout: $10.78K
Potential profit: $26.95
User PnL: $1.81K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $10.15K
Potential payout: $10.23K
Potential profit: $76.74
User PnL: $4.01K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $894.91
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $168.9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $486.16

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $42.52
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $124.49

If you invest $100 $102.99 back +$2.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $780.37
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $98.53K
Potential profit: $84.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.52K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.35K
Potential payout: $69.96K
Potential profit: $62.61K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$9.39K

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $772.68
Volume: $1.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $8.8K
Potential payout: $12.49K
Potential profit: $3.68K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $2.72K

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $113.9
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $711.18
Volume: $1.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.1%
Current value: $21.83
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $53.18
Multiplier: 3.44x
User PnL: $19.55

If you invest $100 $343.64 back +$243.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $20.96
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $54.04
Multiplier: 3.58x
User PnL: $18.69

If you invest $100 $357.78 back +$257.78 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $21.08K
Potential payout: $100.17K
Potential profit: $79.08K
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $12.33K

If you invest $100 $475.06 back +$375.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $98.53K
Potential profit: $84.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.52K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $13.75K
Potential payout: $20.84K
Potential profit: $7.08K
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $5.88K

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $10.22K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.84K

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $10.06K
Potential payout: $10.27K
Potential profit: $210.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.28K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $113.9
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

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