Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.55K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $289.92K
Potential payout: $1.35M
Potential profit: $1.06M
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $106.99K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $543.14K
Potential payout: $577.5K
Potential profit: $34.36K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$4.78K

If you invest $100 $106.33 back +$6.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $272.21K
Potential payout: $297.5K
Potential profit: $25.29K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $11.93K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 2:30 AM

PnL: $1.86K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $424.48K
Potential payout: $426.83K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $305.77K
Potential payout: $317.69K
Potential profit: $11.91K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.37K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 81.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $325.04K
Potential payout: $326.83K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: $477.5

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $45.92K
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $9.07K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.97K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $3.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $6.9K
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.38K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$191.74

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $317.23K
Potential payout: $330.97K
Potential profit: $13.74K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.89K

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $178.89K
Potential payout: $186.64K
Potential profit: $7.75K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $180.85

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $806.77
Volume: $0
Win rate: 88.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $26.72K
Potential payout: $32K
Potential profit: $5.28K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.2K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $18.7K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $500

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $708.74
Volume: $2.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $263.28K
Potential profit: $261.57K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $131.64

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $206.59K
Potential profit: $205.25K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$41.73

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $689.26
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $653.06K
Potential payout: $653.39K
Potential profit: $326.69
User PnL: $2.79K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $639.45
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $7.75K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$10.44

If you invest $100 $116.08 back +$16.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $6.46K
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $519.62
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $58.02

If you invest $100 $108.05 back +$8.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $635.05
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $32.81K
Potential payout: $36.46K
Potential profit: $3.65K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $24.21

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $32.58K
Potential payout: $34.76K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $28.33

If you invest $100 $106.67 back +$6.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $575
Volume: $0
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $24.81K
Potential payout: $29.02K
Potential profit: $4.21K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.12K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $19.21K
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $3.8K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.5K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $563.7
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $543.14K
Potential payout: $577.5K
Potential profit: $34.36K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$4.78K

If you invest $100 $106.33 back +$6.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $376.72K
Potential payout: $385K
Potential profit: $8.28K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$4.87K

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $453.99
Volume: $452.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $15.21K
Potential payout: $18.21K
Potential profit: $3.01K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$671.67

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $917.09
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $192.37

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $305.77K
Potential payout: $317.69K
Potential profit: $11.91K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $289.92K
Potential payout: $1.35M
Potential profit: $1.06M
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $106.99K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $272.21K
Potential payout: $297.5K
Potential profit: $25.29K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $11.93K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $178.89K
Potential payout: $186.64K
Potential profit: $7.75K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $180.85

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $123.94K
Potential payout: $136.95K
Potential profit: $13.01K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.66K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

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