Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $18.12K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $63.48K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $232.47K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $62.32K

If you invest $100 $466.2 back +$366.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $125.05K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $206.65K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$36.28K

If you invest $100 $265.25 back +$165.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $375.63K
Potential payout: $400.03K
Potential profit: $24.4K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.43K

If you invest $100 $106.5 back +$6.5 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 6:50 AM

PnL: $3.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $70.81K
Potential payout: $70.99K
Potential profit: $177.47
User PnL: $23.25K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $66.7K
Potential payout: $66.87K
Potential profit: $167.16
User PnL: $8.69K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.62K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 78%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $10.8K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $3.7K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.42K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.19K
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $8.56K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $201.51
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.19K

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $7.65K
Potential payout: $10.27K
Potential profit: $2.62K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $3.04K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.89K
Volume: $523.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $453
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $147
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$9

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $447
Potential payout: $600.01
Potential profit: $153
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$3

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.78K
Volume: $14.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $375.63K
Potential payout: $400.03K
Potential profit: $24.4K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.43K

If you invest $100 $106.5 back +$6.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $7.25K
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 39.1%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $6.46K
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$357.29

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$498.58

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $125.05K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $206.65K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$36.28K

If you invest $100 $265.25 back +$165.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $63.48K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $232.47K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $62.32K

If you invest $100 $466.2 back +$366.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.34K
Volume: $3.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $13.97
User PnL: $119.84

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.46K
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $7.39
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $210
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.54K
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: $25

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.47K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.69K
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.59K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $377.36
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $177.5

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $5.02K
Potential payout: $6.74K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $3.01K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.15
Potential profit: $364.15
User PnL: -$92.5

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $6.59K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $6.09K
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$298.28

If you invest $100 $192.31 back +$92.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $185.73
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: -$14.26

If you invest $100 $1.14K back +$1.04K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $62.67K
Potential payout: $65.32K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.34K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $10.8K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $3.7K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.42K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $8.56K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $201.51
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.19K

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $6.61K
Potential payout: $6.69K
Potential profit: $80.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $782.98

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $6.59K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $6.09K
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$298.28

If you invest $100 $192.31 back +$92.31 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.