Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $18.73K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $42.27K
Potential payout: $239.51K
Potential profit: $197.24K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: -$10.75K

If you invest $100 $566.57 back +$466.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $77.93K
Potential payout: $118.98K
Potential profit: $41.05K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$8.71K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $5.8K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $24.19K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.65K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 2:55 PM

PnL: $4.15K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $95.84K
Potential payout: $95.89K
Potential profit: $47.94
User PnL: $16.84K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $77.93K
Potential payout: $118.98K
Potential profit: $41.05K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$8.71K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.56K
Volume: $34.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $22.6K
Potential payout: $23.64K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $70.05

If you invest $100 $104.6 back +$4.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $20.89K
Potential payout: $21.28K
Potential profit: $393.72
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.89K
Volume: $1.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.9%
Current value: $36.95
Potential payout: $49.36
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $20.49

If you invest $100 $133.6 back +$33.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $15.47
Potential payout: $114.56
Potential profit: $99.1
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $5.92

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.81K
Volume: $7.09K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $5.8K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $24.19K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.65K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $5.77K
Potential payout: $8.01K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$837.31

If you invest $100 $138.99 back +$38.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $458.85K
Potential payout: $460K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: $26.45K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.96K
Potential profit: $66.96K
User PnL: -$14.06K

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $4.26
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.91
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.36K
Volume: $1.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $86.96
Potential payout: $105.4
Potential profit: $18.45
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $78.85

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $81.04
Potential payout: $531.39
Potential profit: $450.35
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $58.9

If you invest $100 $655.74 back +$555.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $3.28K
Win rate: 40.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.69K
Potential payout: $11.94K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.25K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $633.47
Potential payout: $671.41
Potential profit: $37.93
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $314.21

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $1.42K
Win rate: 82%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $12.98K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.6K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $8.28K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $48.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $94.35K
Potential payout: $94.78K
Potential profit: $426.5
User PnL: $2.66K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $43.84K
Potential payout: $43.91K
Potential profit: $65.86
User PnL: $952.42

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $3.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.73K
Potential payout: $10.76K
Potential profit: $26.9
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $8.97K
Potential payout: $10.02K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.11K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $496.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $11.18K
Potential payout: $11.89K
Potential profit: $713.41
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $361.01

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $13.41K
Potential profit: $4.76K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$732.04

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $20.89K
Potential payout: $21.28K
Potential profit: $393.72
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.2%
Current value: $16.97K
Potential payout: $35.24K
Potential profit: $18.27K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$4.44K

If you invest $100 $207.68 back +$107.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $12.98K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.6K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $11.18K
Potential payout: $11.89K
Potential profit: $713.41
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $361.01

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $13.41K
Potential profit: $4.76K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$732.04

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $8.28K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

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