Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $25.76K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $7.29K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $5.39K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $399.05

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $9.79K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $4.71K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.41K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 11:02 PM

PnL: $4.5K
Volume: $2.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $128.07
Potential payout: $222.73
Potential profit: $94.66
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $121.71

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $48.23
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $42.77
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $35.23

If you invest $100 $188.68 back +$88.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.8K
Volume: $4.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 England?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $611.89
Potential payout: $612.2
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $611.89

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Colombia vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $488.64
Potential payout: $517.08
Potential profit: $28.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.59

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.24K
Volume: $5.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $26.63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.33K
Volume: $3.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $8.54K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $223.41
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.17K

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $8.43K
Potential payout: $12.49K
Potential profit: $4.06K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.26K
Volume: $3.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.19K
Volume: $6.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $15.03K
Potential payout: $15.22K
Potential profit: $190.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.63K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.94K
Potential payout: $12.94K
Potential profit: $6.47
User PnL: $6.3K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $7.29K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $5.39K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $399.05

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $188.92
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 11.24x
User PnL: -$11.08

If you invest $100 $1.12K back +$1.02K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.88K
Volume: $13.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.53K
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: $16.66

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $508.04

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.87K
Volume: $3.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $451.03
Potential payout: $456.28
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.23

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $430.85
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $582.91
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $5.07

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.8K
Volume: $3.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $6.94K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $63
User PnL: -$0.41

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $4.95K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $83.01

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.75K
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $9.79K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $4.71K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.41K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.37K
Volume: $14.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $82.49
Potential payout: $232.37
Potential profit: $149.88
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $78.19

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $42.63
Potential payout: $775
Potential profit: $732.38
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $22.23

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $7.29K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $5.39K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $399.05

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $6.62K
Potential payout: $6.69K
Potential profit: $70.26
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $793.02

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.37K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $71.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $95.39

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $3.61K
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $51.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $26.63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

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