Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $26.79K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $17.01K
Potential profit: $11.65K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$924.14

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $7.42K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $5.26K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $525.84

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.35K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $971.41

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 12:44 AM

PnL: $4.51K
Volume: $2.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $160.87
Potential payout: $274.99
Potential profit: $114.12
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $153.02

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.8%
Current value: $89.4
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $210.6
Multiplier: 3.36x
User PnL: $51.9

If you invest $100 $335.57 back +$235.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.79K
Volume: $4.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Colombia vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $436.94
Potential payout: $517.08
Potential profit: $80.15
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$49.12

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $82.17
Potential payout: $82.21
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $82.17

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.31K
Volume: $5.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $26.63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.57K
Volume: $3.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $8.56K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $197.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.19K

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $12.49K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $1.97K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.33K
Volume: $6.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $43.61K
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.46K

If you invest $100 $103.2 back +$3.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $17.01K
Potential profit: $11.65K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$924.14

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.26K
Volume: $3.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.16K
Volume: $6.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $14.98K
Potential payout: $15.22K
Potential profit: $243.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.57K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $7.76K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $7.42K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $5.26K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $525.84

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $188.92
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 11.24x
User PnL: -$11.08

If you invest $100 $1.12K back +$1.02K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.95K
Volume: $15.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.53K
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: $16.66

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.94K
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $8.85
User PnL: $18.67

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.86K
Volume: $3.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $451.03
Potential payout: $456.28
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.23

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $428.87
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $580.24
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $5.05

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.79K
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.35K
Potential payout: $14.5K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $971.41

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.69K
Volume: $3.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $6.94K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $63
User PnL: -$0.41

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $4.94K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $57.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $78.01

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $8.56K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $197.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.19K

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.24K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.94K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $7.76K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $7.42K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $5.26K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $525.84

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $6.61K
Potential payout: $6.69K
Potential profit: $76.95
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $786.33

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $17.01K
Potential profit: $11.65K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$924.14

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

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