Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $100.9K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $18.98K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $679.7

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 2:15 PM

PnL: $13.86K
Volume: $23.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.7%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $6.22K
Multiplier: 4.06x
User PnL: $384.08

If you invest $100 $405.68 back +$305.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $47.66
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.87K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.26K
Volume: $3.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.39K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.05K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $33.83
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $399.36

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.57K
Volume: $3.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $9.99K
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $3.74K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $108.87
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.91K

If you invest $100 $102.77 back +$2.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.74K
Volume: $9.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $35.35
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.67K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: $111.45

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.27K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $14.64K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $360
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.1K

If you invest $100 $102.46 back +$2.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $187.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.81K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$348.21

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.79K
Volume: $32.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $28.54K
Potential payout: $32.08K
Potential profit: $3.55K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.69K

If you invest $100 $112.42 back +$12.42 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $3.15K
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.25K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $35.15K
Potential payout: $38.41K
Potential profit: $3.27K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.27K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.95K
Volume: $5.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $487.65

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $31.37K
Potential payout: $31.45K
Potential profit: $78.61
User PnL: $232.54

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.37K
Volume: $3.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Belal Muhammad in his next UFC bout?

Ends Jun 2, 2027

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $11.33

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Carlos Prates in his next UFC bout?

Ends Jun 2, 2027

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $12.9
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $17.1
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $11.03

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.99K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $832.83
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $182.82
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $303.12

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.96K
Volume: $21.45K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $18.98K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $679.7

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $11.13K
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $118.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.47K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.71K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $312.31
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$213.69

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.6K
Potential profit: $48.6K
User PnL: -$24.17K

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $28.8K
Potential payout: $29.86K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$3.73

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $28.54K
Potential payout: $32.08K
Potential profit: $3.55K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.69K

If you invest $100 $112.42 back +$12.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $14.64K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $360
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.1K

If you invest $100 $102.46 back +$2.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $18.98K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $679.7

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $11.13K
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $118.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.47K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $9.99K
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $3.74K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.