Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.61K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.65K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $457.66

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $15.27K
Potential payout: $20.23K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$231.45

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.3%
Current value: $999
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$40.78

If you invest $100 $300.3 back +$200.3 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 11:53 PM

PnL: $1.77K
Volume: $3.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61.7%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $958.75
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: -$6.06

If you invest $100 $162.21 back +$62.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $674.45

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.37K
Volume: $14.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $21.55
Potential payout: $331.61
Potential profit: $310.06
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $12.34

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $19.67
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $989.15
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$6.88

If you invest $100 $5.13K back +$5.03K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.35K
Volume: $3.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $2.84K
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$109.14

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $2.55K
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $69.45
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $498.59

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.35K
Volume: $33.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $15.27K
Potential payout: $20.23K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$231.45

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $14.06K
Potential payout: $15.66K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $111.42 back +$11.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $572
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $228
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$126.8

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $269.16
Potential payout: $271.74
Potential profit: $2.58
User PnL: $19.16

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.16K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $42.05
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.86K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$18.85

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $27.1
Potential payout: $41.38
Potential profit: $14.28
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$2.28

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $14.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $357.49
Potential payout: $362.2
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $150.33

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 57.9%
Current value: $156.33
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $113.67
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: -$100

If you invest $100 $172.71 back +$72.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $2.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $90.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $12.75

If you invest $100 $110.31 back +$10.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.9%
Current value: $88.03
Potential payout: $100.15
Potential profit: $12.12
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.98

If you invest $100 $113.77 back +$13.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $238.95
Potential payout: $853.41
Potential profit: $614.46
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $36.36

If you invest $100 $357.14 back +$257.14 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $207.07
Potential payout: $212.82
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $52.29

If you invest $100 $102.77 back +$2.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $940.78
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $34.95

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.65K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $457.66

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $931.66
Volume: $1.74K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $4.49
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.06

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $4.49
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.08

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $34.95

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $2.84K
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$109.14

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $2.55K
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $69.45
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $498.59

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $356.91
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.63

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61.7%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $958.75
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: -$6.06

If you invest $100 $162.21 back +$62.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$37.5

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

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