Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.58K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $357.66

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $16.55K
Potential payout: $27.35K
Potential profit: $10.81K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.26K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $6.8K
Potential profit: $4.32K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $38.95

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 4:01 AM

PnL: $390
Volume: $0
Win rate: 36.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.99K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $357.66

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $381.8
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $995.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $35.06

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $880.01
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $120
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.53

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $375.99
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $6.8K
Potential profit: $4.32K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $38.95

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $208.95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $726.98

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $372.94
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $16.55K
Potential payout: $27.35K
Potential profit: $10.81K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.26K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $16.16K
Potential payout: $16.67K
Potential profit: $508.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $325

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $371
Volume: $38.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $320.78
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $486.51

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Grok 4.4 released by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $308.39
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $180.35

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $370.09
Volume: $0
Win rate: 78%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $367.58
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $19.3
Potential payout: $857.72
Potential profit: $838.42
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$29.04

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $14.81
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$96.65

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $336.56
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $6.59K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $439.06
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$144.67

If you invest $100 $106.67 back +$6.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $6.5K
Potential payout: $7.24K
Potential profit: $741.97
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.49K

If you invest $100 $111.42 back +$11.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $317.8
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $447.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $352.4
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$251.2

If you invest $100 $178.73 back +$78.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $268.07
Potential payout: $271.74
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $18.07

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $300.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $65.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $76.42

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $3.27K
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $208.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $61.81

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.93
Volume: $14.11K
Win rate: 88%
Open positions: 3

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $67.19
Potential payout: $67.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.66

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10.1

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $264.04
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $6.59K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $439.06
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$144.67

If you invest $100 $106.67 back +$6.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $6.5K
Potential payout: $7.24K
Potential profit: $741.97
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.49K

If you invest $100 $111.42 back +$11.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $6.48K
Potential payout: $7.13K
Potential profit: $641.29
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $65.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $76.42

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $3.27K
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $208.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $61.81

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $2.82K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $181.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $119.18

If you invest $100 $106.44 back +$6.44 estimated profit if it wins

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