Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $15.12K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $523.6
Potential payout: $19.76K
Potential profit: $19.23K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$2.04K

If you invest $100 $3.77K back +$3.67K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $198.01
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: -$23.99

If you invest $100 $1.01K back +$910.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $180
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $36

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 11:30 PM

PnL: $1.62K
Volume: $11.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $810.57
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $379.2

If you invest $100 $169.49 back +$69.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $25.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $31.56

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.61K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $19.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $169.04
Potential payout: $281.73
Potential profit: $112.69
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$25.81

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $109.91
Potential payout: $139.13
Potential profit: $29.22
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $13.91

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $12.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $63B?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $88.19
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $31.8
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $9

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Blackstone (BX) Q2 total assets under management be above $1.32T?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 71.6%
Current value: $83.07
Potential payout: $116.1
Potential profit: $33.03
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$5.87

If you invest $100 $139.76 back +$39.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $202.04
Potential payout: $267.61
Potential profit: $65.56
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $39.86

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $198.01
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: -$23.99

If you invest $100 $1.01K back +$910.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.5K
Volume: $54.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.49K
Volume: $6.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $20.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.31

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $20.27
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $95.63

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.43K
Volume: $3.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $24.9K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: $100

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $23.93K
Potential payout: $24.08K
Potential profit: $144.46
User PnL: $370.34

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.42K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $523.6
Potential payout: $19.76K
Potential profit: $19.23K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$2.04K

If you invest $100 $3.77K back +$3.67K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $454.95
Potential payout: $777.69
Potential profit: $322.74
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$25.26

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 84%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $1.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $243.83
Potential payout: $258.02
Potential profit: $14.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.29

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $107.95
Potential payout: $981.4
Potential profit: $873.44
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $34.32

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $122.57
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $105.69

If you invest $100 $107.35 back +$7.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $810.57
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $379.2

If you invest $100 $169.49 back +$69.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $25.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $31.56

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $126.23
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $172.86

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $523.6
Potential payout: $19.76K
Potential profit: $19.23K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$2.04K

If you invest $100 $3.77K back +$3.67K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $454.95
Potential payout: $777.69
Potential profit: $322.74
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$25.26

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

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