Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $6.56K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $28.64K
Potential payout: $69K
Potential profit: $40.37K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$5.87K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.98K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$13.98K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $40.37K
Potential payout: $69K
Potential profit: $28.64K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $5.87K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 7:49 PM

PnL: $3.87K
Volume: $28.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $33.98K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $6.02K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $13.98K

If you invest $100 $117.72 back +$17.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.98K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$13.98K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $397.75
Volume: $998.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $40.37K
Potential payout: $69K
Potential profit: $28.64K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $5.87K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $28.64K
Potential payout: $69K
Potential profit: $40.37K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$5.87K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $365.01
Volume: $9.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.09K
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: $512.42

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $530.79
Potential payout: $532.12
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: $171.91

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $354.9
Volume: $10.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.45K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $977.22
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $175.39

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $81.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $100.4

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $339.39
Volume: $4.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $333.62
Potential payout: $341.12
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $39.92

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $328.94
Potential payout: $408.62
Potential profit: $79.68
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $31.52

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $289.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $66.55
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $7.03

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $251.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Odd position

Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $221.52
Potential payout: $246
Potential profit: $24.48
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$24.23

If you invest $100 $111.05 back +$11.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$349.65

PnL: $235.1
Volume: $195
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $533.13
Potential payout: $545.12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$1.87

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $377.76
Potential payout: $378.52
Potential profit: $0.76
User PnL: $3.88

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $227.37
Volume: $7.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Serena Williams Play at Wimbledon 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $14.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.94

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $393.61
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$61.94

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $223.53
Volume: $1.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $183.82
Potential payout: $190.58
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $168.57

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $119.94
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $30.34

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $216.69
Volume: $6.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $225.67
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $251.15
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $137.6

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $216.42
Volume: $13.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $84.09
Potential payout: $934.38
Potential profit: $850.29
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$40.59

If you invest $100 $1.11K back +$1.01K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $45.08
Potential payout: $322
Potential profit: $276.92
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $5.33

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.98K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$13.98K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.45K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $977.22
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $175.39

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $225.67
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $81.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $100.4

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $240.31
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $78.25

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Serena Williams Play at Wimbledon 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $14.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.94

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes83.5% No16.5%

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Yes39.5% No60.5%

Will Travis Grantham be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Yes19% No81.1%

Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes13.3% No86.7%