Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $7.18K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.98K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$13.98K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $42.71K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $30.3K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.21K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 9:01 PM

PnL: $3.68K
Volume: $28.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $33.98K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $6.02K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $13.98K

If you invest $100 $117.72 back +$17.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.98K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$13.98K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $918.56
Volume: $10.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.09K
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: $512.42

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Belize position

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Belize vs Brazil

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $552.76
Potential payout: $597.57
Potential profit: $44.82
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $246.72

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $410.51
Volume: $998.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $42.71K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $30.3K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.21K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $30.3K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $42.71K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.21K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $387.62
Volume: $8.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Serena Williams Play at Wimbledon 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $14.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.94

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $385.41
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$53.73

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $354.54
Volume: $10.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $960.08
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $192.53

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $81.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $100.4

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $349.7
Volume: $4.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $361.95
Potential payout: $438.73
Potential profit: $76.78
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $39.19

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $333.62
Potential payout: $341.12
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $39.92

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $289.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $66.55
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $7.03

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $274.5
Volume: $1.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $183.82
Potential payout: $190.58
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $168.57

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $119.94
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $30.34

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $267.02
Volume: $6.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $225.67
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $251.15
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $137.6

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $251.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $995.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: -$3.5

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $991.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $8.5
User PnL: -$7.5

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $235
Volume: $250
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $8.68
User PnL: -$6.75

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $543.27
Potential payout: $546
Potential profit: $2.73
User PnL: -$1.92

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $216.37
Volume: $13.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $79.42
Potential payout: $934.38
Potential profit: $854.96
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$45.26

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $45.08
Potential payout: $322
Potential profit: $276.92
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $5.33

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.98K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$13.98K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $960.08
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $192.53

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $225.67
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $81.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $100.4

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $219.41
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $99.14

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes83.5% No16.5%

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Yes41.3% No58.8%

Will Travis Grantham be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Yes22.6% No77.5%

Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes13.3% No86.7%