Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $80.59K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $48.97K
Potential payout: $1.08M
Potential profit: $1.03M
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$94.77K

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $392.96K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $302.67K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $51.86K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $48.41K
Potential payout: $158.74K
Potential profit: $110.32K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $8.43K

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 7:29 PM

PnL: $17.48K
Volume: $53.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $48.97K
Potential payout: $1.08M
Potential profit: $1.03M
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$94.77K

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $48.41K
Potential payout: $158.74K
Potential profit: $110.32K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $8.43K

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.09K
Volume: $43.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $100.55K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $964.38
User PnL: $27.95K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $24.5K
Potential payout: $41.18K
Potential profit: $16.68K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $11.58K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.74K
Volume: $63.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $117.5K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $15.27K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.28K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $87.36K
Potential payout: $163.29K
Potential profit: $75.93K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $10.05K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.48K
Volume: $265.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $4.98K
Potential payout: $33.51K
Potential profit: $28.54K
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $4.42K

If you invest $100 $673.4 back +$573.4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $5.63K
Potential profit: $2.45K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $365.65

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.37K
Volume: $50.44K
Win rate: 52%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $46.61K
Potential payout: $115.09K
Potential profit: $68.48K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $16.65K

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $992.5K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $500

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.33K
Volume: $753.68
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $392.96K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $302.67K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $51.86K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $199.77K
Potential payout: $225.6K
Potential profit: $25.83K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $8.09K

If you invest $100 $112.93 back +$12.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.96K
Volume: $86.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $103.56K
Potential payout: $108.49K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.9K

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $31.94K
Potential payout: $33.98K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $623.09

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.18K
Volume: $96.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $637.01K
Potential payout: $638.61K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: $80.7K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $621.32K
Potential payout: $623.5K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: $49.76K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.13K
Volume: $56.2K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $3.9K
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $151.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $89.1

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $213.93
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$3.51

If you invest $100 $106.5 back +$6.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.82K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $68.33K
Potential payout: $80.86K
Potential profit: $12.53K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $7.26K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $40.26K
Potential payout: $99.41K
Potential profit: $59.15K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5.38K

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $31.31K
Potential payout: $82.39K
Potential profit: $51.08K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $15.55K

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.12K
Potential profit: $135.12K
User PnL: -$11.2K

PnL: $4.06K
Volume: $103.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $9.14K
Potential payout: $20.78K
Potential profit: $11.64K
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$579.27

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $7.04K
Potential payout: $16.95K
Potential profit: $9.91K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $928.39

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $117.5K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $15.27K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.28K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $103.56K
Potential payout: $108.49K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.9K

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $87.36K
Potential payout: $163.29K
Potential profit: $75.93K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $10.05K

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $68.33K
Potential payout: $80.86K
Potential profit: $12.53K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $7.26K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $48.97K
Potential payout: $1.08M
Potential profit: $1.03M
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$94.77K

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $48.41K
Potential payout: $158.74K
Potential profit: $110.32K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $8.43K

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

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