Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $83.7K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $398.38K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.35M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.32K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $85.54K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $681.63K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$26.52K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 12:52 PM

PnL: $17.54K
Volume: $344.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.38K
Potential payout: $52.51K
Potential profit: $131.27
User PnL: $6.11K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $37.22K
Potential payout: $38.31K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $440.59

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.49K
Volume: $745.67K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $398.38K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.35M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.32K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $61.93K
Potential payout: $427.13K
Potential profit: $365.19K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.89K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.18K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $460.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.44K
Volume: $8.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $148.09
Potential payout: $210.05
Potential profit: $61.97
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $148.09

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $119.21
Potential payout: $187.73
Potential profit: $68.52
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.94

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.98K
Volume: $195.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $10.85K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.92K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $10.58K
Potential profit: $9.36K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.65K
Volume: $37.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $515.84K
Potential payout: $518.17K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: $25.62K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.71K
Volume: $4.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $83.08
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $452.92
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$24.12

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $79.51
Potential payout: $407.76
Potential profit: $328.24
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.04

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.79K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 45.9%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $53.74K
Potential payout: $304.5K
Potential profit: $250.76K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: -$81K

If you invest $100 $566.57 back +$466.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $497.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$32.5

If you invest $100 $1.01K back +$905.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.73K
Volume: $5.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $53.25K
Potential payout: $53.46K
Potential profit: $213.85
User PnL: $15.26K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.48K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $374.61K
Potential payout: $433.07K
Potential profit: $58.46K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $73.59K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $24.14K
Potential payout: $28.24K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.51K
Volume: $111.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $94.3K
Potential payout: $94.78K
Potential profit: $473.89
User PnL: $2.62K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $44.67K
Potential payout: $254.51K
Potential profit: $209.85K
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$11.68K

If you invest $100 $569.8 back +$469.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $85.54K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $681.63K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$26.52K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $85.54K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $681.63K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$26.52K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $61.93K
Potential payout: $427.13K
Potential profit: $365.19K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $53.74K
Potential payout: $304.5K
Potential profit: $250.76K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: -$81K

If you invest $100 $566.57 back +$466.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $44.67K
Potential payout: $254.51K
Potential profit: $209.85K
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$11.68K

If you invest $100 $569.8 back +$469.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $37.22K
Potential payout: $38.31K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $440.59

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

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