Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $117.35K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.99K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $295.65K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.89K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $203.13K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $23.7K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $10.34K

If you invest $100 $111.67 back +$11.67 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:47 PM

PnL: $22.36K
Volume: $92.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $146.53K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $146.67
User PnL: $60.5K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $17.65K
Volume: $1.24K
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.99K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $295.65K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.89K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $203.13K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $23.7K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $10.34K

If you invest $100 $111.67 back +$11.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.74K
Volume: $15.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.01K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $245.49
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $103.69

If you invest $100 $111.67 back +$11.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.02K
Volume: $65.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $30.69K
Potential payout: $34.97K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.46K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $23.78K
Potential payout: $116.33K
Potential profit: $92.55K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$12.18K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.94K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $30.17K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.45K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.02K
Volume: $4.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $101.41K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $101.51
User PnL: $28.82K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $12.13K
Potential payout: $12.2K
Potential profit: $73.21
User PnL: $632.21

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.94K
Volume: $240.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $10.42K
Potential profit: $8.49K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.75K

If you invest $100 $542.01 back +$442.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.3%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 2.76x
User PnL: -$687.39

If you invest $100 $275.86 back +$175.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.11K
Volume: $26.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $19.08K
Potential payout: $22.19K
Potential profit: $3.11K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.74K

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $376.1K
Potential payout: $390.34K
Potential profit: $14.25K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $34.3K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $36K
Potential payout: $36K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.2K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.73K
Volume: $6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $27.96K
Potential payout: $31.07K
Potential profit: $3.11K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $5.95K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $25.54K
Potential payout: $41.52K
Potential profit: $15.99K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.66K
Volume: $10.18K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $379.5K
Potential payout: $393.88K
Potential profit: $14.38K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $18.37K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $168.51K
Potential payout: $192.58K
Potential profit: $24.07K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.17K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.43K
Volume: $199.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $83.18K
Potential payout: $84.92K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $769.92

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $79.5K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.5K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $203.13K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $23.7K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $10.34K

If you invest $100 $111.67 back +$11.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $168.51K
Potential payout: $192.58K
Potential profit: $24.07K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.17K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $83.18K
Potential payout: $84.92K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $769.92

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $79.5K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.5K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $52.73K
Potential payout: $55.45K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $225.67

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $33.33K
Potential payout: $35.36K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.86K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.