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Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $136.7K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $163.74K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $892.64K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$84.42K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $73.51K
Potential payout: $525.05K
Potential profit: $451.54K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$28.96K

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $38.39K
Potential payout: $451.63K
Potential profit: $413.24K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$24.57K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:43 PM

PnL: $27.45K
Volume: $30.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $23.92K
Potential payout: $154.35K
Potential profit: $130.43K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.45K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $18.29K
Potential payout: $89.91K
Potential profit: $71.62K
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: $2.31K

If you invest $100 $491.64 back +$391.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $21.13K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 44%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $163.74K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $892.64K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$84.42K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.99K
Potential profit: $550.99K
User PnL: -$52.15K

PnL: $16.1K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 82.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $421.1K
Potential payout: $450.38K
Potential profit: $29.27K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $53.97K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $379.82K
Potential payout: $410.62K
Potential profit: $30.8K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $29.1K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.98K
Volume: $58.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $73.51K
Potential payout: $525.05K
Potential profit: $451.54K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$28.96K

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $59.2K
Potential payout: $320.01K
Potential profit: $260.81K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$16.77K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.21K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $133.58K
Potential payout: $152.67K
Potential profit: $19.08K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $17.58K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $31.29K
Potential payout: $197.4K
Potential profit: $166.11K
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: $13.98K

If you invest $100 $630.91 back +$530.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.17K
Volume: $569.09K
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $123.26K
Potential payout: $136.95K
Potential profit: $13.7K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $6.97K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.09K
Volume: $450.52K
Win rate: 88%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.08M
Potential payout: $1.18M
Potential profit: $100.52K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $14.18K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $152.85K
Potential payout: $165.25K
Potential profit: $12.39K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.06K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $38.39K
Potential payout: $451.63K
Potential profit: $413.24K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$24.57K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.05K
Potential profit: $20.05K
User PnL: -$966.73

PnL: $8.95K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $38.03K
Potential payout: $447.44K
Potential profit: $409.4K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$150.97K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.84K
Potential profit: $9.84K
User PnL: -$199.99

PnL: $8.58K
Volume: $117.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $8.45K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $14.65K
Potential payout: $94.53K
Potential profit: $79.88K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$13.94K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $11.67K
Potential payout: $72.96K
Potential profit: $61.28K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$5.31K

If you invest $100 $625 back +$525 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.32K
Volume: $13.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $349.87
Potential payout: $641.96
Potential profit: $292.09
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $330.99

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $154.66
Potential payout: $213.33
Potential profit: $58.67
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $147.04

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $163.74K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $892.64K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$84.42K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $133.58K
Potential payout: $152.67K
Potential profit: $19.08K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $17.58K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $123.26K
Potential payout: $136.95K
Potential profit: $13.7K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $6.97K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $73.51K
Potential payout: $525.05K
Potential profit: $451.54K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$28.96K

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $59.2K
Potential payout: $320.01K
Potential profit: $260.81K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$16.77K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

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