Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $153.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $903.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.99K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $110.64K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.13K
- Potential payout
- $525.05K
- Potential profit
- $448.92K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.33K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $38.39K
- Potential payout
- $451.63K
- Potential profit
- $413.24K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$24.57K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb...3e4a Public @LlamaLoco0000
- PnL
- $20.5K
- Volume
- $55.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.13K
- Potential payout
- $525.05K
- Potential profit
- $448.92K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.33K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $59.2K
- Potential payout
- $320.01K
- Potential profit
- $260.81K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$16.77K
Rank #2
trashpilot
0x9592...a7b8 Public
- PnL
- $17.36K
- Volume
- $16.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $21.85K
- Potential payout
- $150.69K
- Potential profit
- $128.84K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$72.03
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $12.08K
- Potential payout
- $92.21K
- Potential profit
- $80.13K
- Multiplier
- 7.63x
- User PnL
- -$4.27K
Rank #3
Wickier
0x1cc1...b8df Public
- PnL
- $12.21K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $133.58K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $19.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.58K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $31.29K
- Potential payout
- $197.4K
- Potential profit
- $166.11K
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- $13.98K
Rank #4
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $153.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $903.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.99K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Rank #5
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $9.44K
- Volume
- $513.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $122.57K
- Potential payout
- $136.95K
- Potential profit
- $14.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.29K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $116.11K
- Potential payout
- $121.58K
- Potential profit
- $5.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Rank #6
Djfere
0x768c...015d Public
- PnL
- $9.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $38.39K
- Potential payout
- $451.63K
- Potential profit
- $413.24K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$24.57K
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.05K
- Potential profit
- $20.05K
- User PnL
- -$966.73
Rank #7
NECRO-VOID
0xf55c...0afe Public
- PnL
- $8.95K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $38.03K
- Potential payout
- $447.44K
- Potential profit
- $409.4K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$150.97K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.84K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Rank #8
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $8.31K
- Volume
- $13.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $349.87
- Potential payout
- $641.96
- Potential profit
- $292.09
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $330.99
No position
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $235.13
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $39.88
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Rank #9
52centis
0xcb4c...6d64 Public
- PnL
- $7.14K
- Volume
- $6.02K
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $11.33K
- Potential payout
- $50.34K
- Potential profit
- $39.01K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $896.68
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $3.68K
- Potential payout
- $11.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.46K
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Rank #10
mustbethewater
0xc518...2594 Public
- PnL
- $7.13K
- Volume
- $4.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.2%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $538.54
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$186.09
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.6%
- Current value
- $177.98
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $272.03
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $164.74
Rank #11
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $6.78K
- Volume
- $22.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $343.72
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $48.06
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $452.82
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Rank #12
123987456
0x0130...fb49 Public
- PnL
- $6.36K
- Volume
- $9.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $3.55K
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $141.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $24.3
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $30.27
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $116.11K
- Potential payout
- $121.58K
- Potential profit
- $5.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.18K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $79.9K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.9K
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.13K
- Potential payout
- $525.05K
- Potential profit
- $448.92K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.33K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $59.2K
- Potential payout
- $320.01K
- Potential profit
- $260.81K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$16.77K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $38.39K
- Potential payout
- $451.63K
- Potential profit
- $413.24K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$24.57K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $31.29K
- Potential payout
- $197.4K
- Potential profit
- $166.11K
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- $13.98K
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