Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $129.86K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $40.28K
Potential payout: $290.84K
Potential profit: $250.56K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $21.23K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $200.77K
Potential payout: $331.84K
Potential profit: $131.08K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $33.93K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $192.24K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $45.09K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $25.36K

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 8:37 PM

PnL: $38.9K
Volume: $2.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $60.97K
Potential payout: $73.9K
Potential profit: $12.93K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $35.69K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?

Ends Feb 13, 2022

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $764.73
Potential profit: $764.12
Multiplier: 1250.00x
User PnL: -$385.36

If you invest $100 $125K back +$124.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?

Ends Jan 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14K
Potential profit: $16.14K
User PnL: -$4.4K

PnL: $15.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 0

PnL: $12.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $200.77K
Potential payout: $331.84K
Potential profit: $131.08K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $33.93K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $192.24K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $45.09K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $25.36K

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $147.72K
Potential payout: $182.36K
Potential profit: $34.65K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $11.76K

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $100.69K
Potential payout: $102.07K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $27.24K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.87K
Volume: $30.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $15.98
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $40.28K
Potential payout: $290.84K
Potential profit: $250.56K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $21.23K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.16K
Volume: $184.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $595

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $26.63K
Potential profit: $23.66K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $2.53K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.96K
Volume: $199.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $84.76K
Potential payout: $85.92K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.84K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.7%
Current value: $80.7K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $19.3K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.63K

If you invest $100 $123.92 back +$23.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.65K
Volume: $66.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $11.92K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $4.42K

If you invest $100 $125.87 back +$25.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $3.3K
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $903.08
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $104.3

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.27K
Volume: $17.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $145.28K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: $59.26K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.06K
Volume: $46.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $139.97
Potential payout: $903.02
Potential profit: $763.05
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$10.53

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $58.99
Potential payout: $59.29
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: -$0.14

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.7%
Current value: $80.7K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $19.3K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.63K

If you invest $100 $123.92 back +$23.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $60.97K
Potential payout: $73.9K
Potential profit: $12.93K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $35.69K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $40.28K
Potential payout: $290.84K
Potential profit: $250.56K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $21.23K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $35.04K
Potential payout: $42.99K
Potential profit: $7.96K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $640.62

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $11.92K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $4.42K

If you invest $100 $125.87 back +$25.87 estimated profit if it wins

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