Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $72.52K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $386.74K
Potential payout: $2.68M
Potential profit: $2.29M
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $99.21K

If you invest $100 $692.04 back +$592.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $100.73K
Potential payout: $809.04K
Potential profit: $708.32K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $1.52K

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $80.18K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $319.74K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $4.92K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:13 PM

PnL: $12.08K
Volume: $80.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $406.79K
Potential payout: $414.04K
Potential profit: $7.25K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $42.44K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $304.92K
Potential payout: $305.68K
Potential profit: $764.2
User PnL: $4.71K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $134.97K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $196.73K
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: -$26.37K

If you invest $100 $245.76 back +$145.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.6%
Current value: $78.58K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $217.38K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $77.41K

If you invest $100 $376.65 back +$276.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.06K
Volume: $27.92K
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $91.03K
Potential payout: $94.18K
Potential profit: $3.16K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.42K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $55.1K
Potential payout: $63.7K
Potential profit: $8.6K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.83K
Volume: $1.03K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $178.42K
Potential payout: $438.48K
Potential profit: $260.07K
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $18.27K

If you invest $100 $245.76 back +$145.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $96.16K
Potential payout: $216.08K
Potential profit: $119.93K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $266.63K
Potential payout: $285.17K
Potential profit: $18.54K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $55.04K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $72.47K
Potential payout: $74.14K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.39K

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.33K
Volume: $199.69
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $427.82K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $267.82K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $86.71K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $204.83K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $22K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $12.04K

If you invest $100 $110.74 back +$10.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.06K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $386.74K
Potential payout: $2.68M
Potential profit: $2.29M
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $99.21K

If you invest $100 $692.04 back +$592.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $102.23K
Potential payout: $312.14K
Potential profit: $209.91K
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $44.73K

If you invest $100 $305.34 back +$205.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.8K
Volume: $15.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $306.72K
Potential payout: $350.54K
Potential profit: $43.82K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $127.86K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $193.39K
Potential payout: $196.83K
Potential profit: $3.44K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $54K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.48K
Volume: $199.64K
Win rate: 76.2%
Open positions: 3

Flavio Cobolli position

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.33K
Potential payout: $27.34K
Potential profit: $13.67
User PnL: $17.33K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $19.72K
Potential payout: $20.82K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$281.51

If you invest $100 $105.6 back +$5.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.18K
Volume: $56.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $13K
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$25.6

If you invest $100 $107.93 back +$7.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $10.13K
Potential payout: $10.72K
Potential profit: $584.05
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $92.74

If you invest $100 $105.76 back +$5.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.04K
Volume: $8.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $123.32K
Potential payout: $125.51K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $21.53K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $85.76K
Potential payout: $85.8K
Potential profit: $42.9
User PnL: $6.06K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.02K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $5.39K
Potential payout: $22.92K
Potential profit: $17.53K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $502.27

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $868.89
Potential payout: $15.52K
Potential profit: $14.65K
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: $313.9

If you invest $100 $1.79K back +$1.69K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $306.72K
Potential payout: $350.54K
Potential profit: $43.82K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $127.86K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $266.63K
Potential payout: $285.17K
Potential profit: $18.54K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $55.04K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $204.83K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $22K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $12.04K

If you invest $100 $110.74 back +$10.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $178.42K
Potential payout: $438.48K
Potential profit: $260.07K
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $18.27K

If you invest $100 $245.76 back +$145.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $102.23K
Potential payout: $312.14K
Potential profit: $209.91K
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $44.73K

If you invest $100 $305.34 back +$205.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $100.73K
Potential payout: $809.04K
Potential profit: $708.32K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $1.52K

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.