Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $68.56K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $207.81K
Potential payout: $1.43M
Potential profit: $1.23M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.56K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $46.42K
Potential payout: $331.57K
Potential profit: $285.15K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $367.05

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $136K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $184K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$24K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 8:33 AM

PnL: $13.69K
Volume: $294.28K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $207.81K
Potential payout: $1.43M
Potential profit: $1.23M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.56K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $46.42K
Potential payout: $331.57K
Potential profit: $285.15K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $367.05

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.19K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $207.66K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $29.67K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $40.79K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $205.57K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $108.28K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $50.5K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $160.54K
Potential payout: $162.24K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $43.78K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $159.57K
Potential payout: $182.36K
Potential profit: $22.8K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $23.61K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.14K
Volume: $78.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $148.69K
Potential profit: $146.68K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$470.75

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.76K
Volume: $17.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $19.17
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.89K
Volume: $22.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $785.94K
Potential payout: $794.28K
Potential profit: $8.34K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $112.52K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $88.69K
Potential payout: $135.41K
Potential profit: $46.72K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $14.65K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.83K
Volume: $260.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $145.28K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: $59.26K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.18K
Volume: $22.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $28.23K
Potential payout: $106.54K
Potential profit: $78.3K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $532.68

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $14.55K
Potential payout: $14.81K
Potential profit: $259.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $117.89

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.89K
Volume: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jalen Duren play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.9%
Current value: $33.64
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $41.36
Multiplier: 2.23x
User PnL: $31.36

If you invest $100 $222.97 back +$122.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jalen Duren play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $33.38
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $41.63
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $31.1

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.87K
Volume: $230.44
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $171.25K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $9.87K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.39K

If you invest $100 $105.76 back +$5.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $95.61K
Potential payout: $95.81K
Potential profit: $191.61
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.67K
Volume: $910.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $76.87
Potential payout: $97.3
Potential profit: $20.43
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $68.02

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Draymond Green play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.2%
Current value: $48.57
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $61.44
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $45.23

If you invest $100 $226.5 back +$126.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.5K
Volume: $3.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $184K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $136K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $24K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $136K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $184K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$24K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $205.57K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $108.28K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $50.5K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $184K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $136K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $24K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $171.25K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $9.87K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.39K

If you invest $100 $105.76 back +$5.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $136K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $184K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$24K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $46.42K
Potential payout: $331.57K
Potential profit: $285.15K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $367.05

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $28.23K
Potential payout: $106.54K
Potential profit: $78.3K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $532.68

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

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