Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $56.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $1.27M
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$110K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $93.2K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $153.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $903.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.99K
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.11K
- Potential payout
- $524.87K
- Potential profit
- $448.76K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.34K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
trashpilot
0x9592...a7b8 Public
- PnL
- $19.99K
- Volume
- $10.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $21.85K
- Potential payout
- $150.69K
- Potential profit
- $128.84K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$72.03
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $17.12K
- Potential payout
- $88.96K
- Potential profit
- $71.83K
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Rank #2
Wickier
0x1cc1...b8df Public
- PnL
- $12.21K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $133.58K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $19.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.58K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $31.09K
- Potential payout
- $197.4K
- Potential profit
- $166.31K
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- $13.78K
Rank #3
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $153.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $903.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.99K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Rank #4
LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb...3e4a Public @LlamaLoco0000
- PnL
- $9.52K
- Volume
- $28.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.11K
- Potential payout
- $524.87K
- Potential profit
- $448.76K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.34K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $62.4K
- Potential payout
- $320.01K
- Potential profit
- $257.61K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$13.57K
Rank #5
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $8.22K
- Volume
- $464.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $122.57K
- Potential payout
- $136.95K
- Potential profit
- $14.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.29K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $116.11K
- Potential payout
- $121.58K
- Potential profit
- $5.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Rank #6
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $8.15K
- Volume
- $12.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $420.11
- Potential payout
- $770.84
- Potential profit
- $350.73
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $397.44
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $154.66
- Potential payout
- $213.33
- Potential profit
- $58.67
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $147.04
Rank #7
mustbethewater
0xc518...2594 Public
- PnL
- $6.93K
- Volume
- $3.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $535.68
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$183.24
Yes position
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $134.9
- Potential payout
- $142.75
- Potential profit
- $7.85
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $128.69
Rank #8
123987456
0x0130...fb49 Public
- PnL
- $6.16K
- Volume
- $7.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $3.58K
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $112.48
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $53.81
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.9%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $7.24
Rank #9
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $6.14K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
Rank #10
comon119
0xc3c3...eec8 Public
- PnL
- $5.33K
- Volume
- $3.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $56.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $1.27M
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$110K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $22.77K
- Potential payout
- $198.02K
- Potential profit
- $175.25K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$6.44K
Rank #11
52centis
0xcb4c...6d64 Public
- PnL
- $5.31K
- Volume
- $6.02K
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $11.33K
- Potential payout
- $50.34K
- Potential profit
- $39.01K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $896.68
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $3.62K
- Potential payout
- $11.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.52K
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Rank #12
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $5.21K
- Volume
- $11.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $343.72
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $48.06
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $452.82
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.87K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $143.91K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $15.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.71K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $133.58K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $19.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.58K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $122.57K
- Potential payout
- $136.95K
- Potential profit
- $14.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.29K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $116.11K
- Potential payout
- $121.58K
- Potential profit
- $5.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.18K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $79.95K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.95K
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.11K
- Potential payout
- $524.87K
- Potential profit
- $448.76K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.34K
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