Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $344.3K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $290.25K
Potential payout: $2M
Potential profit: $1.71M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $36.37K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $412.87K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.6M
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $242.06K

If you invest $100 $486.62 back +$386.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $85.54K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $681.63K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$26.52K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:11 PM

PnL: $198.66K
Volume: $60.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $182.37K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $137.63K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $22.37K

If you invest $100 $175.47 back +$75.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $137.6K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $182.4K
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$22.4K

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $47.35K
Volume: $602.87K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $290.25K
Potential payout: $2M
Potential profit: $1.71M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $36.37K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $48.6K
Potential payout: $359.98K
Potential profit: $311.39K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.43K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $28.4K
Volume: $7.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $13.79K
Potential payout: $15.07K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.52K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $12K
Potential payout: $12.25K
Potential profit: $251.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.07K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.61K
Volume: $21.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $392.18K
Potential payout: $630K
Potential profit: $237.83K
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $77.18K

If you invest $100 $160.64 back +$60.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $237.83K
Potential payout: $630K
Potential profit: $392.18K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$77.18K

If you invest $100 $264.9 back +$164.9 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.77K
Volume: $26.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.72K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $560

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.56K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $434.95
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $834.87

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10K
Volume: $67.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $96.92K
Potential payout: $107.09K
Potential profit: $10.17K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.68K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $82.62K
Potential payout: $83.12K
Potential profit: $498.69
User PnL: $21.1K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.06K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $43.8K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $258.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $9.16K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.43K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $412.87K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.6M
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $242.06K

If you invest $100 $486.62 back +$386.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $85.54K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $681.63K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$26.52K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.8K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $37.71K
Potential payout: $260.08K
Potential profit: $222.37K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.9K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $814.29
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $13.47K
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$2.19K

If you invest $100 $1.75K back +$1.65K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.21K
Volume: $165.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $16.01K
Potential payout: $110.4K
Potential profit: $94.39K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.87K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $5.03K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $145

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.14K
Volume: $133.33K
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $37.72K
Potential payout: $260.15K
Potential profit: $222.43K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.23K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.77K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $32.72K
Potential payout: $225.64K
Potential profit: $192.92K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.08K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$677

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $237.83K
Potential payout: $630K
Potential profit: $392.18K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$77.18K

If you invest $100 $264.9 back +$164.9 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $182.37K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $137.63K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $22.37K

If you invest $100 $175.47 back +$75.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $137.6K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $182.4K
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$22.4K

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $96.92K
Potential payout: $107.09K
Potential profit: $10.17K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.68K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $85.54K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $681.63K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$26.52K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $71.92K
Potential payout: $109.8K
Potential profit: $37.88K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $4.79K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.

Advertisement