Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $74.87K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.75K
Potential payout: $633.99K
Potential profit: $629.23K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.56K

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $89.17K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $676.26K
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $58.44K

If you invest $100 $858.37 back +$758.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $76.07K
Potential payout: $524.65K
Potential profit: $448.57K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$26.35K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 1:00 PM

PnL: $19.29K
Volume: $21.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $321.54
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $70.23

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $464.43
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.56K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $89.17K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $676.26K
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $58.44K

If you invest $100 $858.37 back +$758.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $30.68K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $395.48K
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: $20.89K

If you invest $100 $1.39K back +$1.29K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $40.95K
Potential payout: $351.52K
Potential profit: $310.57K
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $21.69K

If you invest $100 $858.37 back +$758.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.75K
Potential payout: $633.99K
Potential profit: $629.23K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.56K

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.04K
Volume: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $157.6K
Potential payout: $160.74K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.93K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $131.81K
Potential payout: $159.77K
Potential profit: $27.96K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $7.67K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.76K
Volume: $236.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $3.6K
Potential payout: $5.33K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.53K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $245.95K
Potential profit: $244.35K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $100.59

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.18K
Volume: $220.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $530.86K
Potential payout: $536.49K
Potential profit: $5.63K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $46.03K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $269.07K
Potential payout: $287.77K
Potential profit: $18.71K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $71.49K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.06K
Volume: $18.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $76.07K
Potential payout: $524.65K
Potential profit: $448.57K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$26.35K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $45.36K
Potential payout: $259.22K
Potential profit: $213.86K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$18.67K

If you invest $100 $571.43 back +$471.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.81K
Volume: $9.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $60.75K
Potential payout: $61.71K
Potential profit: $956.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.12K

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $59.15K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $10.85K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.55K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.73K
Volume: $14.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Logan McNaney win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $15.15
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $13.99

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Matt DeLuca win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $13.65
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.35
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $12.79

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.11K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 82.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $421.1K
Potential payout: $450.38K
Potential profit: $29.27K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $53.97K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $383.93K
Potential payout: $410.62K
Potential profit: $26.69K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $33.21K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.94K
Volume: $13.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $232
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $8

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $829.5
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $10.5

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.45K
Volume: $76.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.33K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$174.95

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.93K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $269.07K
Potential payout: $287.77K
Potential profit: $18.71K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $71.49K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $157.6K
Potential payout: $160.74K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.93K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $143.91K
Potential payout: $159.02K
Potential profit: $15.11K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $131.81K
Potential payout: $159.77K
Potential profit: $27.96K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $7.67K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $89.17K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $676.26K
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $58.44K

If you invest $100 $858.37 back +$758.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $76.07K
Potential payout: $524.65K
Potential profit: $448.57K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$26.35K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

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